Iran's Islamic legal framework, rooted in Sharia interpretations enforced by the theocratic system, criminalizes same-sex relations with penalties including death and offers no recognition of same-sex partnerships or marriage. The new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, installed in March 2026 following his predecessor's assassination amid ongoing conflicts, has prioritized leadership consolidation and security measures over social reforms. Iranian authorities continue to repress LGBT advocacy through arrests, censorship, and official statements framing such issues as moral deviations. Trader consensus at 98% reflects these entrenched structural barriers, with no legislative, judicial, or clerical signals of change by the December 2026 resolution deadline. Rare shifts could stem from unforeseen regime transformation or binding religious reinterpretations, though neither appears plausible under current conditions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
2% संभावना
$79,273 वॉल्यूम
$79,273 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
2% संभावना
$79,273 वॉल्यूम
$79,273 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic legal framework, rooted in Sharia interpretations enforced by the theocratic system, criminalizes same-sex relations with penalties including death and offers no recognition of same-sex partnerships or marriage. The new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, installed in March 2026 following his predecessor's assassination amid ongoing conflicts, has prioritized leadership consolidation and security measures over social reforms. Iranian authorities continue to repress LGBT advocacy through arrests, censorship, and official statements framing such issues as moral deviations. Trader consensus at 98% reflects these entrenched structural barriers, with no legislative, judicial, or clerical signals of change by the December 2026 resolution deadline. Rare shifts could stem from unforeseen regime transformation or binding religious reinterpretations, though neither appears plausible under current conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$79,273समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic legal framework, rooted in Sharia interpretations enforced by the theocratic system, criminalizes same-sex relations with penalties including death and offers no recognition of same-sex partnerships or marriage. The new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, installed in March 2026 following his predecessor's assassination amid ongoing conflicts, has prioritized leadership consolidation and security measures over social reforms. Iranian authorities continue to repress LGBT advocacy through arrests, censorship, and official statements framing such issues as moral deviations. Trader consensus at 98% reflects these entrenched structural barriers, with no legislative, judicial, or clerical signals of change by the December 2026 resolution deadline. Rare shifts could stem from unforeseen regime transformation or binding religious reinterpretations, though neither appears plausible under current conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$79,273समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Iran's Islamic legal framework, rooted in Sharia interpretations enforced by the theocratic system, criminalizes same-sex relations with penalties including death and offers no recognition of same-sex partnerships or marriage. The new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, installed in March 2026 following his predecessor's assassination amid ongoing conflicts, has prioritized leadership consolidation and security measures over social reforms. Iranian authorities continue to repress LGBT advocacy through arrests, censorship, and official statements framing such issues as moral deviations. Trader consensus at 98% reflects these entrenched structural barriers, with no legislative, judicial, or clerical signals of change by the December 2026 resolution deadline. Rare shifts could stem from unforeseen regime transformation or binding religious reinterpretations, though neither appears plausible under current conditions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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