Persistent low water levels on the Rhine, driven by an unusually dry 2026 with record low precipitation in Alpine headwaters and repeated heatwaves, keep gauges like Kaub near historic lows around 25 cm as of early September. This situation has produced more low-water days than any year since 1997, with disruption odds remaining elevated through October. The tight spread between October (37.5%) and no return before November (32%) reflects uncertainty over whether modest late-summer rainfall or typical autumn patterns will restore normal navigable depths in the next few weeks, while the slim September chance (21.5%) aligns with current forecasts showing little near-term relief.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाराइन नदी सामान्य स्तर पर कब लौटेगी?
राइन नदी सामान्य स्तर पर कब लौटेगी?
1 अक्टूबर - 31 अक्टूबर, 2026 38%
1 नवंबर, 2026 से पहले वापसी नहीं 32%
15 - 30 सितंबर, 2026 22%
15 सितंबर, 2026 से पहले 4.5%
$15,363 वॉल्यूम
$15,363 वॉल्यूम
15 सित, 2026
15 सितंबर, 2026 से पहले
5%
15 - 30 सितंबर, 2026
22%
1 अक्टूबर - 31 अक्टूबर, 2026
38%
1 नवंबर, 2026 से पहले वापसी नहीं
32%
1 अक्टूबर - 31 अक्टूबर, 2026 38%
1 नवंबर, 2026 से पहले वापसी नहीं 32%
15 - 30 सितंबर, 2026 22%
15 सितंबर, 2026 से पहले 4.5%
$15,363 वॉल्यूम
$15,363 वॉल्यूम
15 सित, 2026
15 सितंबर, 2026 से पहले
$5,481 वॉल्यूम
5%
15 - 30 सितंबर, 2026
$3,864 वॉल्यूम
22%
1 अक्टूबर - 31 अक्टूबर, 2026
$3,816 वॉल्यूम
38%
1 नवंबर, 2026 से पहले वापसी नहीं
$2,202 वॉल्यूम
32%
This market will resolve according to the date (Berlin time) when the water level at the Kaub gauge (station 25700100) on the Rhine River first reaches or exceeds 77 centimeters, as reported by the German Federal Waterways and Shipping Administration (WSV) via PegelOnline.
A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark below which shipping becomes structurally disrupted, and defines "normal levels" for this market.
The resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 77 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 77 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 77 centimeters for any period.
If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) are available on the resolution source, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) have not been recorded on the resolution source by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Berlin time, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026."
The resolution source for this market will be PegelOnline (https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100).Persistent low water levels on the Rhine, driven by an unusually dry 2026 with record low precipitation in Alpine headwaters and repeated heatwaves, keep gauges like Kaub near historic lows around 25 cm as of early September. This situation has produced more low-water days than any year since 1997, with disruption odds remaining elevated through October. The tight spread between October (37.5%) and no return before November (32%) reflects uncertainty over whether modest late-summer rainfall or typical autumn patterns will restore normal navigable depths in the next few weeks, while the slim September chance (21.5%) aligns with current forecasts showing little near-term relief.
This market will resolve according to the date (Berlin time) when the water level at the Kaub gauge (station 25700100) on the Rhine River first reaches or exceeds 77 centimeters, as reported by the German Federal Waterways and Shipping Administration (WSV) via PegelOnline.
A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark below which shipping becomes structurally disrupted, and defines "normal levels" for this market.
The resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 77 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 77 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 77 centimeters for any period.
If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) are available on the resolution source, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) have not been recorded on the resolution source by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Berlin time, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026."
The resolution source for this market will be PegelOnline (https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100).
A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark below which shipping becomes structurally disrupted, and defines "normal levels" for this market.
The resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 77 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 77 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 77 centimeters for any period.
If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) are available on the resolution source, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) have not been recorded on the resolution source by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Berlin time, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026."
The resolution source for this market will be PegelOnline (https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 6, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$15,363समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 6, 2026, 12:26 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date (Berlin time) when the water level at the Kaub gauge (station 25700100) on the Rhine River first reaches or exceeds 77 centimeters, as reported by the German Federal Waterways and Shipping Administration (WSV) via PegelOnline.
A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark below which shipping becomes structurally disrupted, and defines "normal levels" for this market.
The resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 77 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 77 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 77 centimeters for any period.
If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) are available on the resolution source, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) have not been recorded on the resolution source by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Berlin time, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026."
The resolution source for this market will be PegelOnline (https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100).Persistent low water levels on the Rhine, driven by an unusually dry 2026 with record low precipitation in Alpine headwaters and repeated heatwaves, keep gauges like Kaub near historic lows around 25 cm as of early September. This situation has produced more low-water days than any year since 1997, with disruption odds remaining elevated through October. The tight spread between October (37.5%) and no return before November (32%) reflects uncertainty over whether modest late-summer rainfall or typical autumn patterns will restore normal navigable depths in the next few weeks, while the slim September chance (21.5%) aligns with current forecasts showing little near-term relief.
This market will resolve according to the date (Berlin time) when the water level at the Kaub gauge (station 25700100) on the Rhine River first reaches or exceeds 77 centimeters, as reported by the German Federal Waterways and Shipping Administration (WSV) via PegelOnline.
A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark below which shipping becomes structurally disrupted, and defines "normal levels" for this market.
The resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 77 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 77 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 77 centimeters for any period.
If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) are available on the resolution source, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) have not been recorded on the resolution source by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Berlin time, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026."
The resolution source for this market will be PegelOnline (https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100).
A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark below which shipping becomes structurally disrupted, and defines "normal levels" for this market.
The resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 77 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 77 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 77 centimeters for any period.
If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) are available on the resolution source, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) have not been recorded on the resolution source by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Berlin time, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026."
The resolution source for this market will be PegelOnline (https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100).
वॉल्यूम
$15,363समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 6, 2026, 12:26 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Persistent low water levels on the Rhine, driven by an unusually dry 2026 with record low precipitation in Alpine headwaters and repeated heatwaves, keep gauges like Kaub near historic lows around 25 cm as of early September. This situation has produced more low-water days than any year since 1997, with disruption odds remaining elevated through October. The tight spread between October (37.5%) and no return before November (32%) reflects uncertainty over whether modest late-summer rainfall or typical autumn patterns will restore normal navigable depths in the next few weeks, while the slim September chance (21.5%) aligns with current forecasts showing little near-term relief.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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