Iranian authorities have sustained tight controls over international connectivity since partially restoring access in late May 2026 following an 88-day near-total shutdown triggered by nationwide protests and the February 28 escalation in the conflict with the United States and Israel. Official decisions through the Supreme National Security Council and Supreme Council of Cyberspace have favored a tiered system that prioritizes domestic networks and privileged users while blocking or throttling major platforms. Ongoing regional tensions, economic pressures, and protest risks remain key variables that could prompt renewed full-scale measures, though no nationwide blackout has occurred in the past month. Traders monitor diplomatic signals, domestic unrest indicators, and technical reports from groups tracking traffic levels for shifts in shutdown probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$249,406 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
30 सितंबर
5%
31 दिसंबर
23%
$249,406 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर
$7,165 वॉल्यूम
5%
31 दिसंबर
$12,790 वॉल्यूम
23%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities have sustained tight controls over international connectivity since partially restoring access in late May 2026 following an 88-day near-total shutdown triggered by nationwide protests and the February 28 escalation in the conflict with the United States and Israel. Official decisions through the Supreme National Security Council and Supreme Council of Cyberspace have favored a tiered system that prioritizes domestic networks and privileged users while blocking or throttling major platforms. Ongoing regional tensions, economic pressures, and protest risks remain key variables that could prompt renewed full-scale measures, though no nationwide blackout has occurred in the past month. Traders monitor diplomatic signals, domestic unrest indicators, and technical reports from groups tracking traffic levels for shifts in shutdown probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$249,406समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities have sustained tight controls over international connectivity since partially restoring access in late May 2026 following an 88-day near-total shutdown triggered by nationwide protests and the February 28 escalation in the conflict with the United States and Israel. Official decisions through the Supreme National Security Council and Supreme Council of Cyberspace have favored a tiered system that prioritizes domestic networks and privileged users while blocking or throttling major platforms. Ongoing regional tensions, economic pressures, and protest risks remain key variables that could prompt renewed full-scale measures, though no nationwide blackout has occurred in the past month. Traders monitor diplomatic signals, domestic unrest indicators, and technical reports from groups tracking traffic levels for shifts in shutdown probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$249,406समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Iranian authorities have sustained tight controls over international connectivity since partially restoring access in late May 2026 following an 88-day near-total shutdown triggered by nationwide protests and the February 28 escalation in the conflict with the United States and Israel. Official decisions through the Supreme National Security Council and Supreme Council of Cyberspace have favored a tiered system that prioritizes domestic networks and privileged users while blocking or throttling major platforms. Ongoing regional tensions, economic pressures, and protest risks remain key variables that could prompt renewed full-scale measures, though no nationwide blackout has occurred in the past month. Traders monitor diplomatic signals, domestic unrest indicators, and technical reports from groups tracking traffic levels for shifts in shutdown probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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