SpaceX shares closed at $158.96 on October 2 after a 7.35% surge, reflecting strong trader focus on operational execution and revenue diversification ahead of the week of October 5 resolution. A triple-launch day on October 1–2—including Crew-13 to the ISS, Transporter-18 deploying 130 payloads, and a Falcon Heavy NROL-97 mission—highlighted launch cadence strength, while Starship Flight 14’s orbital debut with Starlink V3 satellites advanced reusability milestones. AI compute contracts with Alphabet ($920 million monthly) and Anthropic ($1.25 billion monthly) are ramping in October, shifting revenue mix beyond launches. With $155–$160 and $160–$165 ranges holding the highest implied probabilities near current levels, markets price in continued momentum tempered by volatility risks around the October 5 SDA launch and broader sector multiples.
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