Spain's snap general election on November 29 follows Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's decision to call early voting after parliament rejected minority-government housing decrees amid widespread protests over rising rents and evictions. Private polling averages place the opposition Partido Popular (PP) in the lead at around 32%, ahead of PSOE, with PP plus Vox projected to secure a parliamentary majority in most seat models. The state-run CIS survey stands as an outlier favoring PSOE, yet trader consensus reflects the broader pattern of private data showing PP positioned for victory. Key variables include turnout among housing-concerned voters, regional dynamics, and any late shifts in coalition negotiations among smaller parties.