Strong critical reception at 95% on Rotten Tomatoes, a B+ CinemaScore, and standout word-of-mouth propelled Zach Cregger’s R-rated reboot to a franchise-record $60 million opening and $108 million global start, far exceeding the $40-50 million tracking. This momentum has shaped trader expectations for the third weekend, with the 12-13 million bracket leading at 64% implied probability after a typical horror-driven 60% second-weekend decline to roughly $23-32 million. The market reflects the genre’s front-loaded pattern and competition from new releases, while noting the film’s better-than-average hold for the category and absence of major negative shifts. Upcoming chart updates and any late promotional spikes could still influence final figures.