**The Resident Evil reboot's steep second-weekend decline underpins the market's near-certain call for under $26 million.** After a franchise-record $60 million opening powered by strong horror buzz and Zach Cregger's track record, the R-rated title fell 61 percent to $23.3 million amid heavy new competition and the typical post-premiere drop for genre films. Its $103.5 million domestic total through ten days reflects solid but not exceptional legs for the category, with no late surges in reviews or word-of-mouth altering the trajectory. An upset above $26 million would require an unusually resilient hold against blockbusters like the Avengers re-release and other wide openers, a scenario traders have priced as remote given historical horror patterns and current tracking.