Micah Lasher secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 for New York’s 12th Congressional District after winning a crowded primary with endorsements from retiring incumbent Jerrold Nadler, former Mayor Michael Bloomberg, and Governor Kathy Hochul. The Manhattan-based seat remains solidly Democratic, with registered Democrats outnumbering Republicans by more than six to one, and has long favored the party in general elections. Caroline Shinkle advanced unopposed as the Republican nominee but trails significantly in fundraising and lacks comparable institutional support. Trader consensus reflects these structural and organizational advantages, though outcomes could shift only in the event of late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually low Democratic turnout in the final weeks before the November vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY-12 House Election Winner
NY-12 House Election Winner
$32,897 वॉल्यूम
$32,897 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Micah Lasher (डेमोक्रेट)
97%
कैरोलाइन शिन्कल (रि.)
2%
$32,897 वॉल्यूम
$32,897 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Micah Lasher (डेमोक्रेट)
$17,262 वॉल्यूम
97%
कैरोलाइन शिन्कल (रि.)
$15,635 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Micah Lasher secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 for New York’s 12th Congressional District after winning a crowded primary with endorsements from retiring incumbent Jerrold Nadler, former Mayor Michael Bloomberg, and Governor Kathy Hochul. The Manhattan-based seat remains solidly Democratic, with registered Democrats outnumbering Republicans by more than six to one, and has long favored the party in general elections. Caroline Shinkle advanced unopposed as the Republican nominee but trails significantly in fundraising and lacks comparable institutional support. Trader consensus reflects these structural and organizational advantages, though outcomes could shift only in the event of late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually low Democratic turnout in the final weeks before the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$32,897समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Micah Lasher secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 for New York’s 12th Congressional District after winning a crowded primary with endorsements from retiring incumbent Jerrold Nadler, former Mayor Michael Bloomberg, and Governor Kathy Hochul. The Manhattan-based seat remains solidly Democratic, with registered Democrats outnumbering Republicans by more than six to one, and has long favored the party in general elections. Caroline Shinkle advanced unopposed as the Republican nominee but trails significantly in fundraising and lacks comparable institutional support. Trader consensus reflects these structural and organizational advantages, though outcomes could shift only in the event of late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually low Democratic turnout in the final weeks before the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$32,897समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2f5e3684c...Micah Lasher secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 for New York’s 12th Congressional District after winning a crowded primary with endorsements from retiring incumbent Jerrold Nadler, former Mayor Michael Bloomberg, and Governor Kathy Hochul. The Manhattan-based seat remains solidly Democratic, with registered Democrats outnumbering Republicans by more than six to one, and has long favored the party in general elections. Caroline Shinkle advanced unopposed as the Republican nominee but trails significantly in fundraising and lacks comparable institutional support. Trader consensus reflects these structural and organizational advantages, though outcomes could shift only in the event of late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually low Democratic turnout in the final weeks before the November vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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