Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the NC-04 general election due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. As the incumbent, she secured the nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary against Nida Allam, demonstrating organizational strength despite a narrow margin. Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The November 3, 2026, contest is expected to hinge on baseline turnout patterns in Durham, Orange, and portions of Wake and Chatham counties. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the gap, though historical results indicate limited scope for such changes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNC -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
NC -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$45,921 वॉल्यूम
$45,921 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
वैलेरी फूशी (डेमोक्रेट)
96%
मैक्स गणोरकर (रिपब्लिकन)
3%
$45,921 वॉल्यूम
$45,921 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
वैलेरी फूशी (डेमोक्रेट)
$14,906 वॉल्यूम
96%
मैक्स गणोरकर (रिपब्लिकन)
$31,015 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the NC-04 general election due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. As the incumbent, she secured the nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary against Nida Allam, demonstrating organizational strength despite a narrow margin. Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The November 3, 2026, contest is expected to hinge on baseline turnout patterns in Durham, Orange, and portions of Wake and Chatham counties. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the gap, though historical results indicate limited scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$45,921समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the NC-04 general election due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. As the incumbent, she secured the nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary against Nida Allam, demonstrating organizational strength despite a narrow margin. Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The November 3, 2026, contest is expected to hinge on baseline turnout patterns in Durham, Orange, and portions of Wake and Chatham counties. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the gap, though historical results indicate limited scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$45,921समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the NC-04 general election due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. As the incumbent, she secured the nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary against Nida Allam, demonstrating organizational strength despite a narrow margin. Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The November 3, 2026, contest is expected to hinge on baseline turnout patterns in Durham, Orange, and portions of Wake and Chatham counties. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the gap, though historical results indicate limited scope for such changes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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