Incumbent Republican Mark Alford holds a commanding lead in Missouri’s 4th Congressional District race, reflecting the district’s solid Republican tilt even after recent redistricting that incorporated portions of Kansas City. Alford secured his party’s nomination with over 77% of the primary vote in August, backed by strong party infrastructure and roughly $1.4 million in fundraising. Democratic nominee Jordan Herrera, an attorney and Air Force veteran who prevailed in a crowded primary with 30%, faces a steep path in a seat rated safe or solid Republican by major forecasters. Limited recent campaign developments or polling shifts have sustained trader consensus around the incumbent’s position. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal, health crisis, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the margin before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMO -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
MO -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$50,468 वॉल्यूम
$50,468 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
मार्क ऐलफोर्ड (रिपब्लिकन)
93%
जॉर्डन हरेरा (डेमोक्रेट)
8%
$50,468 वॉल्यूम
$50,468 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
मार्क ऐलफोर्ड (रिपब्लिकन)
$32,792 वॉल्यूम
93%
जॉर्डन हरेरा (डेमोक्रेट)
$17,676 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Alford holds a commanding lead in Missouri’s 4th Congressional District race, reflecting the district’s solid Republican tilt even after recent redistricting that incorporated portions of Kansas City. Alford secured his party’s nomination with over 77% of the primary vote in August, backed by strong party infrastructure and roughly $1.4 million in fundraising. Democratic nominee Jordan Herrera, an attorney and Air Force veteran who prevailed in a crowded primary with 30%, faces a steep path in a seat rated safe or solid Republican by major forecasters. Limited recent campaign developments or polling shifts have sustained trader consensus around the incumbent’s position. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal, health crisis, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$50,468समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Alford holds a commanding lead in Missouri’s 4th Congressional District race, reflecting the district’s solid Republican tilt even after recent redistricting that incorporated portions of Kansas City. Alford secured his party’s nomination with over 77% of the primary vote in August, backed by strong party infrastructure and roughly $1.4 million in fundraising. Democratic nominee Jordan Herrera, an attorney and Air Force veteran who prevailed in a crowded primary with 30%, faces a steep path in a seat rated safe or solid Republican by major forecasters. Limited recent campaign developments or polling shifts have sustained trader consensus around the incumbent’s position. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal, health crisis, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$50,468समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mark Alford holds a commanding lead in Missouri’s 4th Congressional District race, reflecting the district’s solid Republican tilt even after recent redistricting that incorporated portions of Kansas City. Alford secured his party’s nomination with over 77% of the primary vote in August, backed by strong party infrastructure and roughly $1.4 million in fundraising. Democratic nominee Jordan Herrera, an attorney and Air Force veteran who prevailed in a crowded primary with 30%, faces a steep path in a seat rated safe or solid Republican by major forecasters. Limited recent campaign developments or polling shifts have sustained trader consensus around the incumbent’s position. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal, health crisis, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the margin before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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