Nicolás Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in Manhattan federal court on a four-count superseding indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses stemming from alleged drug trafficking facilitation. Traders assign only a 22% chance of conviction on every count by the end of 2027 because the case remains in early pretrial stages, with defense motions to dismiss on sovereign immunity grounds scheduled for oral argument in November 2026. These filings argue lack of jurisdiction over a sitting head of state and challenge statutory reach over foreign conduct. The extended timeline, combined with potential plea negotiations, partial verdicts, or successful procedural challenges, creates substantial uncertainty around a complete conviction outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
22% संभावना
$133,111 वॉल्यूम
$133,111 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2027
हाँ
22% संभावना
$133,111 वॉल्यूम
$133,111 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in Manhattan federal court on a four-count superseding indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses stemming from alleged drug trafficking facilitation. Traders assign only a 22% chance of conviction on every count by the end of 2027 because the case remains in early pretrial stages, with defense motions to dismiss on sovereign immunity grounds scheduled for oral argument in November 2026. These filings argue lack of jurisdiction over a sitting head of state and challenge statutory reach over foreign conduct. The extended timeline, combined with potential plea negotiations, partial verdicts, or successful procedural challenges, creates substantial uncertainty around a complete conviction outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$133,111समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in Manhattan federal court on a four-count superseding indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses stemming from alleged drug trafficking facilitation. Traders assign only a 22% chance of conviction on every count by the end of 2027 because the case remains in early pretrial stages, with defense motions to dismiss on sovereign immunity grounds scheduled for oral argument in November 2026. These filings argue lack of jurisdiction over a sitting head of state and challenge statutory reach over foreign conduct. The extended timeline, combined with potential plea negotiations, partial verdicts, or successful procedural challenges, creates substantial uncertainty around a complete conviction outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$133,111समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in Manhattan federal court on a four-count superseding indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses stemming from alleged drug trafficking facilitation. Traders assign only a 22% chance of conviction on every count by the end of 2027 because the case remains in early pretrial stages, with defense motions to dismiss on sovereign immunity grounds scheduled for oral argument in November 2026. These filings argue lack of jurisdiction over a sitting head of state and challenge statutory reach over foreign conduct. The extended timeline, combined with potential plea negotiations, partial verdicts, or successful procedural challenges, creates substantial uncertainty around a complete conviction outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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