Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the KY-02 House race reflects the district's entrenched Republican advantage, rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20. The longtime incumbent, first elected in 2009 and re-nominated with 85% in the May primary, maintains a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $4.7 million against Democratic nominee Megan Wingfield's limited resources. All major race ratings underscore minimal competitiveness, consistent with the district's consistent support for Republican candidates in prior cycles. Trader consensus at 95% for Guthrie aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen development such as a late scandal, health event, or national political shift could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाKY-02 House Election Winner
KY-02 House Election Winner
$13,968 वॉल्यूम
$13,968 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
ब्रेट गथरी (आर)
95%
मेगन विंगफील्ड (डेमोक्रेटिक)
5%
$13,968 वॉल्यूम
$13,968 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
ब्रेट गथरी (आर)
$6,297 वॉल्यूम
95%
मेगन विंगफील्ड (डेमोक्रेटिक)
$7,671 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the KY-02 House race reflects the district's entrenched Republican advantage, rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20. The longtime incumbent, first elected in 2009 and re-nominated with 85% in the May primary, maintains a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $4.7 million against Democratic nominee Megan Wingfield's limited resources. All major race ratings underscore minimal competitiveness, consistent with the district's consistent support for Republican candidates in prior cycles. Trader consensus at 95% for Guthrie aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen development such as a late scandal, health event, or national political shift could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,968समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the KY-02 House race reflects the district's entrenched Republican advantage, rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20. The longtime incumbent, first elected in 2009 and re-nominated with 85% in the May primary, maintains a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $4.7 million against Democratic nominee Megan Wingfield's limited resources. All major race ratings underscore minimal competitiveness, consistent with the district's consistent support for Republican candidates in prior cycles. Trader consensus at 95% for Guthrie aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen development such as a late scandal, health event, or national political shift could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$13,968समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the KY-02 House race reflects the district's entrenched Republican advantage, rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20. The longtime incumbent, first elected in 2009 and re-nominated with 85% in the May primary, maintains a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $4.7 million against Democratic nominee Megan Wingfield's limited resources. All major race ratings underscore minimal competitiveness, consistent with the district's consistent support for Republican candidates in prior cycles. Trader consensus at 95% for Guthrie aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen development such as a late scandal, health event, or national political shift could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
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