The market's 100% implied probability on a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026, aligns with official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that exact peak temperature. Persistent late-summer conditions, including elevated sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea and light variable winds under a weakening monsoon influence, supported daytime heating consistent with seasonal norms near 31–32°C. Clear to partly cloudy skies and relative humidity dropping below 60% during peak hours enabled the observed maximum, matching model consensus from regional forecasts. This outcome sits within the typical September range but slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average. A shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover could have capped readings below 32°C, though no such revision materialized in final observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया11 सितंबर को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
11 सितंबर को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 100.0%
26°C या उससे कम <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$113,894 वॉल्यूम
$113,894 वॉल्यूम
11 सित, 2026
26°C या उससे कम
नहीं
27°C
नहीं
28°C
नहीं
29°C
नहीं
30°C
नहीं
31°C
नहीं
32°C
हाँ
33°C
नहीं
34°C
नहीं
35°C
नहीं
36°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
32°C 100.0%
26°C या उससे कम <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$113,894 वॉल्यूम
$113,894 वॉल्यूम
11 सित, 2026
26°C या उससे कम
$265 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
27°C
$228 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
28°C
$19,467 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
29°C
$11,272 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
30°C
$12,941 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
31°C
$20,970 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
32°C
$16,415 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
33°C
$28,171 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
34°C
$3,661 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
35°C
$274 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
36°C या उससे अधिक
$230 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's 100% implied probability on a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026, aligns with official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that exact peak temperature. Persistent late-summer conditions, including elevated sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea and light variable winds under a weakening monsoon influence, supported daytime heating consistent with seasonal norms near 31–32°C. Clear to partly cloudy skies and relative humidity dropping below 60% during peak hours enabled the observed maximum, matching model consensus from regional forecasts. This outcome sits within the typical September range but slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average. A shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover could have capped readings below 32°C, though no such revision materialized in final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$113,894समाप्ति तिथि
11 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's 100% implied probability on a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026, aligns with official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that exact peak temperature. Persistent late-summer conditions, including elevated sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea and light variable winds under a weakening monsoon influence, supported daytime heating consistent with seasonal norms near 31–32°C. Clear to partly cloudy skies and relative humidity dropping below 60% during peak hours enabled the observed maximum, matching model consensus from regional forecasts. This outcome sits within the typical September range but slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average. A shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover could have capped readings below 32°C, though no such revision materialized in final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$113,894समाप्ति तिथि
11 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
The market's 100% implied probability on a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026, aligns with official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that exact peak temperature. Persistent late-summer conditions, including elevated sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea and light variable winds under a weakening monsoon influence, supported daytime heating consistent with seasonal norms near 31–32°C. Clear to partly cloudy skies and relative humidity dropping below 60% during peak hours enabled the observed maximum, matching model consensus from regional forecasts. This outcome sits within the typical September range but slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average. A shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover could have capped readings below 32°C, though no such revision materialized in final observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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