Recent euro area inflation data at 3.2% in August, driven by energy prices surging to 14.3% amid Middle East conflict, has reinforced expectations for further ECB tightening. The September 10 decision raised the deposit facility rate to 2.50% by 25 basis points, with staff projections showing headline inflation averaging 3.0% for 2026 and risks tilted upward due to persistent energy shocks and resilient growth. Analyst forecasts from major banks now anticipate an additional 25-basis-point hike by December, citing solid economic momentum, potential second-round effects, and a higher neutral rate. This consensus supports the market's leading outcome for a modest December increase while leaving room for a hold if incoming data moderates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की बढ़ोतरी 60%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 33%
50+ बेसिस अंक की वृद्धि 5.9%
50 से अधिक bps की कटौती 1.0%
$14,729 वॉल्यूम
$14,729 वॉल्यूम
17 दिस, 2026
50 से अधिक bps की कटौती
1%
25 बिप्स की कटौती
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
33%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की बढ़ोतरी
60%
50+ बेसिस अंक की वृद्धि
6%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की बढ़ोतरी 60%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 33%
50+ बेसिस अंक की वृद्धि 5.9%
50 से अधिक bps की कटौती 1.0%
$14,729 वॉल्यूम
$14,729 वॉल्यूम
17 दिस, 2026
50 से अधिक bps की कटौती
$1,537 वॉल्यूम
1%
25 बिप्स की कटौती
$1,322 वॉल्यूम
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$2,961 वॉल्यूम
33%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की बढ़ोतरी
$7,453 वॉल्यूम
60%
50+ बेसिस अंक की वृद्धि
$1,456 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 16-17, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Recent euro area inflation data at 3.2% in August, driven by energy prices surging to 14.3% amid Middle East conflict, has reinforced expectations for further ECB tightening. The September 10 decision raised the deposit facility rate to 2.50% by 25 basis points, with staff projections showing headline inflation averaging 3.0% for 2026 and risks tilted upward due to persistent energy shocks and resilient growth. Analyst forecasts from major banks now anticipate an additional 25-basis-point hike by December, citing solid economic momentum, potential second-round effects, and a higher neutral rate. This consensus supports the market's leading outcome for a modest December increase while leaving room for a hold if incoming data moderates.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 16-17, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 16-17, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 14, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,729समाप्ति तिथि
17 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 14, 2026, 6:12 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 16-17, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Recent euro area inflation data at 3.2% in August, driven by energy prices surging to 14.3% amid Middle East conflict, has reinforced expectations for further ECB tightening. The September 10 decision raised the deposit facility rate to 2.50% by 25 basis points, with staff projections showing headline inflation averaging 3.0% for 2026 and risks tilted upward due to persistent energy shocks and resilient growth. Analyst forecasts from major banks now anticipate an additional 25-basis-point hike by December, citing solid economic momentum, potential second-round effects, and a higher neutral rate. This consensus supports the market's leading outcome for a modest December increase while leaving room for a hold if incoming data moderates.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 16-17, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 16-17, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$14,729समाप्ति तिथि
17 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 14, 2026, 6:12 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent euro area inflation data at 3.2% in August, driven by energy prices surging to 14.3% amid Middle East conflict, has reinforced expectations for further ECB tightening. The September 10 decision raised the deposit facility rate to 2.50% by 25 basis points, with staff projections showing headline inflation averaging 3.0% for 2026 and risks tilted upward due to persistent energy shocks and resilient growth. Analyst forecasts from major banks now anticipate an additional 25-basis-point hike by December, citing solid economic momentum, potential second-round effects, and a higher neutral rate. This consensus supports the market's leading outcome for a modest December increase while leaving room for a hold if incoming data moderates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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