Discord's confidential S-1 filing on January 6, 2026, with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as leads, established intent for a U.S. listing, yet the absence of a public filing or pricing date after the missed first-half 2026 window has shifted the base case toward 2027 amid softer conditions for consumer platforms. Secondary-market marks near $8.5–10 billion—well below the 2021 $15 billion peak—reflect compressed multiples on roughly $600 million in estimated revenue and ongoing unprofitability, lending support to the 11–14 billion outcome bucket while the 46.5% probability on no IPO by December 31, 2027, captures realistic SEC and market-timing risks. Leadership transition to Humam Sakhnini in 2025 and focus on advertising monetization provide operational context, but broader IPO pipeline dominated by AI names limits near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक कोई आईपीओ नहीं 46.5%
11–14B 20.1%
8–11 अरब 9%
14–17 अरब 5.3%
$69,302 वॉल्यूम
$69,302 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
<5B
2%
5–8B
2%
8–11 अरब
9%
11–14B
20%
14–17 अरब
5%
17–20B
5%
20B+
5%
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक कोई आईपीओ नहीं
46%
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक कोई आईपीओ नहीं 46.5%
11–14B 20.1%
8–11 अरब 9%
14–17 अरब 5.3%
$69,302 वॉल्यूम
$69,302 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
<5B
$15,738 वॉल्यूम
2%
5–8B
$4,825 वॉल्यूम
2%
8–11 अरब
$13,756 वॉल्यूम
9%
11–14B
$8,588 वॉल्यूम
20%
14–17 अरब
$2,601 वॉल्यूम
5%
17–20B
$5,142 वॉल्यूम
5%
20B+
$4,629 वॉल्यूम
5%
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक कोई आईपीओ नहीं
$14,023 वॉल्यूम
46%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord's confidential S-1 filing on January 6, 2026, with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as leads, established intent for a U.S. listing, yet the absence of a public filing or pricing date after the missed first-half 2026 window has shifted the base case toward 2027 amid softer conditions for consumer platforms. Secondary-market marks near $8.5–10 billion—well below the 2021 $15 billion peak—reflect compressed multiples on roughly $600 million in estimated revenue and ongoing unprofitability, lending support to the 11–14 billion outcome bucket while the 46.5% probability on no IPO by December 31, 2027, captures realistic SEC and market-timing risks. Leadership transition to Humam Sakhnini in 2025 and focus on advertising monetization provide operational context, but broader IPO pipeline dominated by AI names limits near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$69,302समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2028बाज़ार खुला
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord's confidential S-1 filing on January 6, 2026, with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as leads, established intent for a U.S. listing, yet the absence of a public filing or pricing date after the missed first-half 2026 window has shifted the base case toward 2027 amid softer conditions for consumer platforms. Secondary-market marks near $8.5–10 billion—well below the 2021 $15 billion peak—reflect compressed multiples on roughly $600 million in estimated revenue and ongoing unprofitability, lending support to the 11–14 billion outcome bucket while the 46.5% probability on no IPO by December 31, 2027, captures realistic SEC and market-timing risks. Leadership transition to Humam Sakhnini in 2025 and focus on advertising monetization provide operational context, but broader IPO pipeline dominated by AI names limits near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
वॉल्यूम
$69,302समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2028बाज़ार खुला
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Discord's confidential S-1 filing on January 6, 2026, with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as leads, established intent for a U.S. listing, yet the absence of a public filing or pricing date after the missed first-half 2026 window has shifted the base case toward 2027 amid softer conditions for consumer platforms. Secondary-market marks near $8.5–10 billion—well below the 2021 $15 billion peak—reflect compressed multiples on roughly $600 million in estimated revenue and ongoing unprofitability, lending support to the 11–14 billion outcome bucket while the 46.5% probability on no IPO by December 31, 2027, captures realistic SEC and market-timing risks. Leadership transition to Humam Sakhnini in 2025 and focus on advertising monetization provide operational context, but broader IPO pipeline dominated by AI names limits near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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