Incumbent Jim Himes maintains a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and recent election margins exceeding 20 points. Himes, first elected in 2008, secured renomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Michael Goldstein, who prevailed in a low-turnout primary. Traders price this outcome heavily because the district's voter base in areas like Stamford and Greenwich has supported Democratic House candidates for nearly two decades, reinforced by Himes' established fundraising and institutional role. A shift would require an unusually strong national Republican environment or unforeseen local developments capable of overcoming these structural barriers before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCT -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
CT -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$47,340 वॉल्यूम
$47,340 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
जिम हाइम्स (डेमोक्रेट)
96%
माइकल गोल्डस्टीन (आर)
4%
$47,340 वॉल्यूम
$47,340 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
जिम हाइम्स (डेमोक्रेट)
$21,773 वॉल्यूम
96%
माइकल गोल्डस्टीन (आर)
$25,567 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Himes maintains a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and recent election margins exceeding 20 points. Himes, first elected in 2008, secured renomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Michael Goldstein, who prevailed in a low-turnout primary. Traders price this outcome heavily because the district's voter base in areas like Stamford and Greenwich has supported Democratic House candidates for nearly two decades, reinforced by Himes' established fundraising and institutional role. A shift would require an unusually strong national Republican environment or unforeseen local developments capable of overcoming these structural barriers before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$47,340समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Himes maintains a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and recent election margins exceeding 20 points. Himes, first elected in 2008, secured renomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Michael Goldstein, who prevailed in a low-turnout primary. Traders price this outcome heavily because the district's voter base in areas like Stamford and Greenwich has supported Democratic House candidates for nearly two decades, reinforced by Himes' established fundraising and institutional role. A shift would require an unusually strong national Republican environment or unforeseen local developments capable of overcoming these structural barriers before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$47,340समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jim Himes maintains a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and recent election margins exceeding 20 points. Himes, first elected in 2008, secured renomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Michael Goldstein, who prevailed in a low-turnout primary. Traders price this outcome heavily because the district's voter base in areas like Stamford and Greenwich has supported Democratic House candidates for nearly two decades, reinforced by Himes' established fundraising and institutional role. A shift would require an unusually strong national Republican environment or unforeseen local developments capable of overcoming these structural barriers before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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