Recent July 2026 core CPI at 2.5% year-over-year, down from 2.6% in June, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 2.38% and analyst forecasts centering on 2.3–2.4% for August, has concentrated Polymarket-implied odds on those two outcomes. Traders are pricing modest further cooling driven by softening core goods prices and contained shelter contributions, even as services inflation shows persistence. The tight distribution around 2.3% and 2.4% reflects uncertainty over monthly volatility in the September 11 release, while steady labor-market readings and above-target inflation keep monetary policy expectations in focus ahead of the mid-September FOMC meeting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2.4% 48%
2.3% 33%
2.5% 13%
2.2% 4.5%
$25,884 वॉल्यूम
$25,884 वॉल्यूम
10 सित, 2026
≤2.0%
2%
2.1%
2%
2.2%
5%
2.3%
33%
2.4%
48%
2.5%
13%
2.6%
3%
2.7%
2%
2.8%
1%
≥2.9%
1%
2.4% 48%
2.3% 33%
2.5% 13%
2.2% 4.5%
$25,884 वॉल्यूम
$25,884 वॉल्यूम
10 सित, 2026
≤2.0%
$644 वॉल्यूम
2%
2.1%
$685 वॉल्यूम
2%
2.2%
$865 वॉल्यूम
5%
2.3%
$2,533 वॉल्यूम
33%
2.4%
$13,217 वॉल्यूम
48%
2.5%
$3,674 वॉल्यूम
13%
2.6%
$1,168 वॉल्यूम
3%
2.7%
$1,291 वॉल्यूम
2%
2.8%
$1,130 वॉल्यूम
1%
≥2.9%
$678 वॉल्यूम
1%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 core CPI at 2.5% year-over-year, down from 2.6% in June, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 2.38% and analyst forecasts centering on 2.3–2.4% for August, has concentrated Polymarket-implied odds on those two outcomes. Traders are pricing modest further cooling driven by softening core goods prices and contained shelter contributions, even as services inflation shows persistence. The tight distribution around 2.3% and 2.4% reflects uncertainty over monthly volatility in the September 11 release, while steady labor-market readings and above-target inflation keep monetary policy expectations in focus ahead of the mid-September FOMC meeting.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,884समाप्ति तिथि
11 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 core CPI at 2.5% year-over-year, down from 2.6% in June, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 2.38% and analyst forecasts centering on 2.3–2.4% for August, has concentrated Polymarket-implied odds on those two outcomes. Traders are pricing modest further cooling driven by softening core goods prices and contained shelter contributions, even as services inflation shows persistence. The tight distribution around 2.3% and 2.4% reflects uncertainty over monthly volatility in the September 11 release, while steady labor-market readings and above-target inflation keep monetary policy expectations in focus ahead of the mid-September FOMC meeting.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
वॉल्यूम
$25,884समाप्ति तिथि
11 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 core CPI at 2.5% year-over-year, down from 2.6% in June, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 2.38% and analyst forecasts centering on 2.3–2.4% for August, has concentrated Polymarket-implied odds on those two outcomes. Traders are pricing modest further cooling driven by softening core goods prices and contained shelter contributions, even as services inflation shows persistence. The tight distribution around 2.3% and 2.4% reflects uncertainty over monthly volatility in the September 11 release, while steady labor-market readings and above-target inflation keep monetary policy expectations in focus ahead of the mid-September FOMC meeting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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