Jacqui Irwin's commanding lead in the CA-26 race stems from the district's Democratic tilt following mid-decade redistricting, her decisive June 2026 primary win with roughly 41 percent of the vote, and broad establishment backing including endorsements from retiring Rep. Julia Brownley and Gov. Gavin Newsom. As a longtime state assemblymember, Irwin also holds a significant fundraising edge over Republican nominee Sam Gallucci, a pastor and nonprofit leader who advanced as the top GOP finisher. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, reflecting consistent historical patterns in similar open-seat contests. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or sharp national shifts could still narrow the gap, though none have emerged in recent months.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -26 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
CA -26 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$32,175 वॉल्यूम
$32,175 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
जैकी इरविन (डेमोक्रेट)
95%
सैम गल्लूची (रिपब्लिकन)
6%
$32,175 वॉल्यूम
$32,175 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
जैकी इरविन (डेमोक्रेट)
$16,426 वॉल्यूम
95%
सैम गल्लूची (रिपब्लिकन)
$15,749 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jacqui Irwin's commanding lead in the CA-26 race stems from the district's Democratic tilt following mid-decade redistricting, her decisive June 2026 primary win with roughly 41 percent of the vote, and broad establishment backing including endorsements from retiring Rep. Julia Brownley and Gov. Gavin Newsom. As a longtime state assemblymember, Irwin also holds a significant fundraising edge over Republican nominee Sam Gallucci, a pastor and nonprofit leader who advanced as the top GOP finisher. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, reflecting consistent historical patterns in similar open-seat contests. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or sharp national shifts could still narrow the gap, though none have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$32,175समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jacqui Irwin's commanding lead in the CA-26 race stems from the district's Democratic tilt following mid-decade redistricting, her decisive June 2026 primary win with roughly 41 percent of the vote, and broad establishment backing including endorsements from retiring Rep. Julia Brownley and Gov. Gavin Newsom. As a longtime state assemblymember, Irwin also holds a significant fundraising edge over Republican nominee Sam Gallucci, a pastor and nonprofit leader who advanced as the top GOP finisher. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, reflecting consistent historical patterns in similar open-seat contests. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or sharp national shifts could still narrow the gap, though none have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$32,175समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Jacqui Irwin's commanding lead in the CA-26 race stems from the district's Democratic tilt following mid-decade redistricting, her decisive June 2026 primary win with roughly 41 percent of the vote, and broad establishment backing including endorsements from retiring Rep. Julia Brownley and Gov. Gavin Newsom. As a longtime state assemblymember, Irwin also holds a significant fundraising edge over Republican nominee Sam Gallucci, a pastor and nonprofit leader who advanced as the top GOP finisher. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, reflecting consistent historical patterns in similar open-seat contests. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or sharp national shifts could still narrow the gap, though none have emerged in recent months.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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