Incumbent Jim Costa holds a commanding lead in California's 21st congressional district, where the Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the race as Likely or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Costa advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 42 percent of the vote, outpacing Republican Kyle Kirkland at 26 percent in a district with a D+5 partisan voter index. His established fundraising edge, prior 52.6 percent win in 2024, and the limited strength of the Republican field underpin the 93.5 percent trader consensus. A late scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unusually high GOP turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors and recent ratings make such shifts improbable.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-21 House Election Winner
CA-21 House Election Winner
$27,331 वॉल्यूम
$27,331 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
जिम कोस्टा (ड)
94%
काइल किर्कलैंड (आर)
7%
$27,331 वॉल्यूम
$27,331 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
जिम कोस्टा (ड)
$15,163 वॉल्यूम
94%
काइल किर्कलैंड (आर)
$12,168 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Costa holds a commanding lead in California's 21st congressional district, where the Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the race as Likely or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Costa advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 42 percent of the vote, outpacing Republican Kyle Kirkland at 26 percent in a district with a D+5 partisan voter index. His established fundraising edge, prior 52.6 percent win in 2024, and the limited strength of the Republican field underpin the 93.5 percent trader consensus. A late scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unusually high GOP turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors and recent ratings make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$27,331समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Costa holds a commanding lead in California's 21st congressional district, where the Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the race as Likely or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Costa advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 42 percent of the vote, outpacing Republican Kyle Kirkland at 26 percent in a district with a D+5 partisan voter index. His established fundraising edge, prior 52.6 percent win in 2024, and the limited strength of the Republican field underpin the 93.5 percent trader consensus. A late scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unusually high GOP turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors and recent ratings make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$27,331समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jim Costa holds a commanding lead in California's 21st congressional district, where the Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the race as Likely or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Costa advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 42 percent of the vote, outpacing Republican Kyle Kirkland at 26 percent in a district with a D+5 partisan voter index. His established fundraising edge, prior 52.6 percent win in 2024, and the limited strength of the Republican field underpin the 93.5 percent trader consensus. A late scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unusually high GOP turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors and recent ratings make such shifts improbable.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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