Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent and former San Jose mayor, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 75.6% of the vote in California's 16th congressional district, far ahead of Republican Peter Soulé at 10.8%. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's partisan composition, voter registration patterns, and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Liccardo's substantial fundraising lead and established local profile reinforce trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited and would likely require late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or significant national political realignment not currently in evidence.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -16 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
CA -16 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$107,115 वॉल्यूम
$107,115 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
सैम लिकार्डो (डेमोक्रेट)
98%
पीटर सूले (रिपब्लिकन)
2%
$107,115 वॉल्यूम
$107,115 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
सैम लिकार्डो (डेमोक्रेट)
$52,942 वॉल्यूम
98%
पीटर सूले (रिपब्लिकन)
$54,173 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent and former San Jose mayor, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 75.6% of the vote in California's 16th congressional district, far ahead of Republican Peter Soulé at 10.8%. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's partisan composition, voter registration patterns, and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Liccardo's substantial fundraising lead and established local profile reinforce trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited and would likely require late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or significant national political realignment not currently in evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$107,115समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent and former San Jose mayor, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 75.6% of the vote in California's 16th congressional district, far ahead of Republican Peter Soulé at 10.8%. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's partisan composition, voter registration patterns, and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Liccardo's substantial fundraising lead and established local profile reinforce trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited and would likely require late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or significant national political realignment not currently in evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$107,115समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent and former San Jose mayor, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 75.6% of the vote in California's 16th congressional district, far ahead of Republican Peter Soulé at 10.8%. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's partisan composition, voter registration patterns, and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Liccardo's substantial fundraising lead and established local profile reinforce trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited and would likely require late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or significant national political realignment not currently in evidence.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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