Recent advancements from Anthropic have positioned claude-fable-5.1-max as the clear leader in trader sentiment for the best AI model on September 21, carrying an 82.5% implied probability. Strong benchmark results and demonstrated capabilities in reasoning and multimodal tasks have driven this consensus among traders betting real capital. Competing Claude Opus variants remain sidelined at under 2% each, underscoring limited expectations for near-term upgrades. With the resolution date just over a week away, any last-minute model releases, third-party evaluations, or capability shifts could still alter positioning, though current market-implied odds reflect sustained momentum for the Fable iteration in the competitive large language model landscape.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाclaude-fable-5.1-max 83%
अन्य 14%
claude-opus-5-max 1.7%
claude-opus-5-high 1.4%
$12,688 वॉल्यूम
$12,688 वॉल्यूम
claude-fable-5.1-max
83%
अन्य
14%
claude-opus-5-max
2%
claude-opus-5-high
1%
claude-opus-4-6-high
1%
claude-fable-5.1-max 83%
अन्य 14%
claude-opus-5-max 1.7%
claude-opus-5-high 1.4%
$12,688 वॉल्यूम
$12,688 वॉल्यूम
claude-fable-5.1-max
83%
अन्य
14%
claude-opus-5-max
2%
claude-opus-5-high
1%
claude-opus-4-6-high
1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 3, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent advancements from Anthropic have positioned claude-fable-5.1-max as the clear leader in trader sentiment for the best AI model on September 21, carrying an 82.5% implied probability. Strong benchmark results and demonstrated capabilities in reasoning and multimodal tasks have driven this consensus among traders betting real capital. Competing Claude Opus variants remain sidelined at under 2% each, underscoring limited expectations for near-term upgrades. With the resolution date just over a week away, any last-minute model releases, third-party evaluations, or capability shifts could still alter positioning, though current market-implied odds reflect sustained momentum for the Fable iteration in the competitive large language model landscape.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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