Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton holds a commanding lead in the Arkansas Senate race due to the state's entrenched Republican tilt, where the party has dominated federal contests and Donald Trump carried the state by over 30 points in 2024. Cotton, seeking a third term, secured his nomination easily in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner, a political newcomer and former farmer, advanced with limited opposition. Recent polling averages show Cotton ahead by roughly 8-11 points, consistent with nonpartisan forecasts rating the contest Solid Republican. Shoffner's September reversal on immigration enforcement after criticism from Cotton has not shifted the broader dynamics. A realistic challenge would require major national shifts or unforeseen events before the November 3 general election to narrow the gap substantially.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअरकंसास सीनेट चुनाव विजेता
अरकंसास सीनेट चुनाव विजेता
$19,090 वॉल्यूम
$19,090 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
टॉम कॉटन (रिपब्लिकन)
95%
हैली शॉफनर (डेमोक्रेट)
5%
$19,090 वॉल्यूम
$19,090 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
टॉम कॉटन (रिपब्लिकन)
$14,505 वॉल्यूम
95%
हैली शॉफनर (डेमोक्रेट)
$4,585 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton holds a commanding lead in the Arkansas Senate race due to the state's entrenched Republican tilt, where the party has dominated federal contests and Donald Trump carried the state by over 30 points in 2024. Cotton, seeking a third term, secured his nomination easily in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner, a political newcomer and former farmer, advanced with limited opposition. Recent polling averages show Cotton ahead by roughly 8-11 points, consistent with nonpartisan forecasts rating the contest Solid Republican. Shoffner's September reversal on immigration enforcement after criticism from Cotton has not shifted the broader dynamics. A realistic challenge would require major national shifts or unforeseen events before the November 3 general election to narrow the gap substantially.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$19,090समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton holds a commanding lead in the Arkansas Senate race due to the state's entrenched Republican tilt, where the party has dominated federal contests and Donald Trump carried the state by over 30 points in 2024. Cotton, seeking a third term, secured his nomination easily in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner, a political newcomer and former farmer, advanced with limited opposition. Recent polling averages show Cotton ahead by roughly 8-11 points, consistent with nonpartisan forecasts rating the contest Solid Republican. Shoffner's September reversal on immigration enforcement after criticism from Cotton has not shifted the broader dynamics. A realistic challenge would require major national shifts or unforeseen events before the November 3 general election to narrow the gap substantially.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$19,090समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton holds a commanding lead in the Arkansas Senate race due to the state's entrenched Republican tilt, where the party has dominated federal contests and Donald Trump carried the state by over 30 points in 2024. Cotton, seeking a third term, secured his nomination easily in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner, a political newcomer and former farmer, advanced with limited opposition. Recent polling averages show Cotton ahead by roughly 8-11 points, consistent with nonpartisan forecasts rating the contest Solid Republican. Shoffner's September reversal on immigration enforcement after criticism from Cotton has not shifted the broader dynamics. A realistic challenge would require major national shifts or unforeseen events before the November 3 general election to narrow the gap substantially.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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