Dauda Lawal, the incumbent governor of Zamfara State, holds an 86% implied probability in the market after defecting from the PDP to the APC in March 2026 amid internal party crises and securing the APC governorship ticket as the consensus candidate in May. Recent endorsements from groups including the National Union of Road Transport Workers in early September, alongside stakeholder meetings backing continuity and alignment with the federal APC administration, have reinforced trader consensus around his position ahead of the February 2027 poll. Lower-priced alternatives such as Mahadi Aliyu Gusau reflect nominations by smaller parties like the ADC, with limited reported momentum or cross-party support in the state.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDauda Lawal 86%
Mahadi Aliyu Gusau 6%
Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus 4.4%
Ahmed Yahuza 3.3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 févr. 2027
Dauda Lawal
86%
Mahadi Aliyu Gusau
6%
Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus
4%
Ahmed Yahuza
3%
Dauda Lawal 86%
Mahadi Aliyu Gusau 6%
Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus 4.4%
Ahmed Yahuza 3.3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 févr. 2027
Dauda Lawal
$4,018 Vol.
86%
Mahadi Aliyu Gusau
$53 Vol.
6%
Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus
$47 Vol.
4%
Ahmed Yahuza
$119 Vol.
3%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Dauda Lawal, the incumbent governor of Zamfara State, holds an 86% implied probability in the market after defecting from the PDP to the APC in March 2026 amid internal party crises and securing the APC governorship ticket as the consensus candidate in May. Recent endorsements from groups including the National Union of Road Transport Workers in early September, alongside stakeholder meetings backing continuity and alignment with the federal APC administration, have reinforced trader consensus around his position ahead of the February 2027 poll. Lower-priced alternatives such as Mahadi Aliyu Gusau reflect nominations by smaller parties like the ADC, with limited reported momentum or cross-party support in the state.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Volume
$4,237Date de fin
6 févr. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Dauda Lawal, the incumbent governor of Zamfara State, holds an 86% implied probability in the market after defecting from the PDP to the APC in March 2026 amid internal party crises and securing the APC governorship ticket as the consensus candidate in May. Recent endorsements from groups including the National Union of Road Transport Workers in early September, alongside stakeholder meetings backing continuity and alignment with the federal APC administration, have reinforced trader consensus around his position ahead of the February 2027 poll. Lower-priced alternatives such as Mahadi Aliyu Gusau reflect nominations by smaller parties like the ADC, with limited reported momentum or cross-party support in the state.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zamfara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$4,237Date de fin
6 févr. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Dauda Lawal, the incumbent governor of Zamfara State, holds an 86% implied probability in the market after defecting from the PDP to the APC in March 2026 amid internal party crises and securing the APC governorship ticket as the consensus candidate in May. Recent endorsements from groups including the National Union of Road Transport Workers in early September, alongside stakeholder meetings backing continuity and alignment with the federal APC administration, have reinforced trader consensus around his position ahead of the February 2027 poll. Lower-priced alternatives such as Mahadi Aliyu Gusau reflect nominations by smaller parties like the ADC, with limited reported momentum or cross-party support in the state.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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