Apple’s strong sales momentum for the MacBook Neo, which shipped over 1.1 million units shortly after its March 2026 launch and prompted production targets to double to 10 million units, underpins the 95.3% market-implied probability that the company will not stop selling the model by year-end. The affordable A18 Pro-powered laptop with its 13-inch Liquid Retina display has expanded Apple’s reach to students and first-time buyers while earning favorable reviews for everyday performance and Apple Intelligence features. Traders see continued availability through refurbished options, color variants, and a planned 2027 successor with an A19 Pro chip and increased RAM as clear signals of sustained support. While component shortages could force SKU adjustments or price tweaks, a full discontinuation before December 31 remains improbable absent major supply disruptions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour5% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 déc. 2026
5% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.Apple’s strong sales momentum for the MacBook Neo, which shipped over 1.1 million units shortly after its March 2026 launch and prompted production targets to double to 10 million units, underpins the 95.3% market-implied probability that the company will not stop selling the model by year-end. The affordable A18 Pro-powered laptop with its 13-inch Liquid Retina display has expanded Apple’s reach to students and first-time buyers while earning favorable reviews for everyday performance and Apple Intelligence features. Traders see continued availability through refurbished options, color variants, and a planned 2027 successor with an A19 Pro chip and increased RAM as clear signals of sustained support. While component shortages could force SKU adjustments or price tweaks, a full discontinuation before December 31 remains improbable absent major supply disruptions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 5:27 PM ET
Volume
$2,221Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 5:27 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.Apple’s strong sales momentum for the MacBook Neo, which shipped over 1.1 million units shortly after its March 2026 launch and prompted production targets to double to 10 million units, underpins the 95.3% market-implied probability that the company will not stop selling the model by year-end. The affordable A18 Pro-powered laptop with its 13-inch Liquid Retina display has expanded Apple’s reach to students and first-time buyers while earning favorable reviews for everyday performance and Apple Intelligence features. Traders see continued availability through refurbished options, color variants, and a planned 2027 successor with an A19 Pro chip and increased RAM as clear signals of sustained support. While component shortages could force SKU adjustments or price tweaks, a full discontinuation before December 31 remains improbable absent major supply disruptions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,221Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 5:27 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Apple’s strong sales momentum for the MacBook Neo, which shipped over 1.1 million units shortly after its March 2026 launch and prompted production targets to double to 10 million units, underpins the 95.3% market-implied probability that the company will not stop selling the model by year-end. The affordable A18 Pro-powered laptop with its 13-inch Liquid Retina display has expanded Apple’s reach to students and first-time buyers while earning favorable reviews for everyday performance and Apple Intelligence features. Traders see continued availability through refurbished options, color variants, and a planned 2027 successor with an A19 Pro chip and increased RAM as clear signals of sustained support. While component shortages could force SKU adjustments or price tweaks, a full discontinuation before December 31 remains improbable absent major supply disruptions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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