Recent polling indicates a sharp reversal in Latino voter preferences since 2024, with Democrats holding substantial leads on the generic congressional ballot among Hispanic registered voters in battleground states and nationally. This positioning stems primarily from widespread dissatisfaction with the Trump administration's handling of inflation, cost of living pressures, and immigration enforcement, reflected in approval ratings for the president falling into the low 20s to mid-30s range among the group. Multiple September surveys, including those from NYT/Siena and bipartisan firms, show Democratic advantages of 25 to 35 points on the ballot question, consistent with broader trends in competitive House districts. While a gender gap persists—with younger Latino men sometimes showing slower shifts than Latinas on issues like immigrant community protections—the overall data points to Democrats regaining ground across subgroups ahead of the November midterms. Trader consensus appears to incorporate these developments and the limited remaining time for major reversals before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 nov. 2026
Démocrates
90%
Républicains
12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 nov. 2026
Démocrates
$1,165 Vol.
90%
Républicains
$115 Vol.
12%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent polling indicates a sharp reversal in Latino voter preferences since 2024, with Democrats holding substantial leads on the generic congressional ballot among Hispanic registered voters in battleground states and nationally. This positioning stems primarily from widespread dissatisfaction with the Trump administration's handling of inflation, cost of living pressures, and immigration enforcement, reflected in approval ratings for the president falling into the low 20s to mid-30s range among the group. Multiple September surveys, including those from NYT/Siena and bipartisan firms, show Democratic advantages of 25 to 35 points on the ballot question, consistent with broader trends in competitive House districts. While a gender gap persists—with younger Latino men sometimes showing slower shifts than Latinas on issues like immigrant community protections—the overall data points to Democrats regaining ground across subgroups ahead of the November midterms. Trader consensus appears to incorporate these developments and the limited remaining time for major reversals before Election Day.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Volume
$1,279Date de fin
6 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent polling indicates a sharp reversal in Latino voter preferences since 2024, with Democrats holding substantial leads on the generic congressional ballot among Hispanic registered voters in battleground states and nationally. This positioning stems primarily from widespread dissatisfaction with the Trump administration's handling of inflation, cost of living pressures, and immigration enforcement, reflected in approval ratings for the president falling into the low 20s to mid-30s range among the group. Multiple September surveys, including those from NYT/Siena and bipartisan firms, show Democratic advantages of 25 to 35 points on the ballot question, consistent with broader trends in competitive House districts. While a gender gap persists—with younger Latino men sometimes showing slower shifts than Latinas on issues like immigrant community protections—the overall data points to Democrats regaining ground across subgroups ahead of the November midterms. Trader consensus appears to incorporate these developments and the limited remaining time for major reversals before Election Day.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,279Date de fin
6 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Recent polling indicates a sharp reversal in Latino voter preferences since 2024, with Democrats holding substantial leads on the generic congressional ballot among Hispanic registered voters in battleground states and nationally. This positioning stems primarily from widespread dissatisfaction with the Trump administration's handling of inflation, cost of living pressures, and immigration enforcement, reflected in approval ratings for the president falling into the low 20s to mid-30s range among the group. Multiple September surveys, including those from NYT/Siena and bipartisan firms, show Democratic advantages of 25 to 35 points on the ballot question, consistent with broader trends in competitive House districts. While a gender gap persists—with younger Latino men sometimes showing slower shifts than Latinas on issues like immigrant community protections—the overall data points to Democrats regaining ground across subgroups ahead of the November midterms. Trader consensus appears to incorporate these developments and the limited remaining time for major reversals before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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