Toy Story 5’s $159.7 million domestic opening in June established it as the year’s second-biggest debut to date, trailing only Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million launch while comfortably ahead of titles like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie. Strong family appeal, Pixar brand equity, and positive reviews created durable presale momentum that few subsequent releases have approached. With December tentpoles such as Avengers: Doomsday and Dune: Messiah still ahead, traders assign them minimal implied probability of cracking the top three, reflecting historical patterns where animated sequels often post outsized early-summer openings relative to crowded holiday slates. An upset would require one of those late-year films to post an unexpectedly front-loaded gross exceeding Toy Story 5 while another major release surpasses it, a scenario current tracking and market pricing view as unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQuel film a le 3ème plus grand week-end d'ouverture en 2026 ?
Quel film a le 3ème plus grand week-end d'ouverture en 2026 ?
Toy Story 5 95%
Dune: Messiah 4.8%
Avengers: Doomsday 2.1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 1.0%
$30,802 Vol.
$30,802 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Toy Story 5
95%
Dune: Messiah
5%
Avengers: Doomsday
2%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
<1%
Toy Story 5 95%
Dune: Messiah 4.8%
Avengers: Doomsday 2.1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 1.0%
$30,802 Vol.
$30,802 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Toy Story 5
$19,261 Vol.
95%
Dune: Messiah
$2,175 Vol.
5%
Avengers: Doomsday
$1,766 Vol.
2%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$1,705 Vol.
1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$1,961 Vol.
1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$2,300 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Toy Story 5’s $159.7 million domestic opening in June established it as the year’s second-biggest debut to date, trailing only Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million launch while comfortably ahead of titles like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie. Strong family appeal, Pixar brand equity, and positive reviews created durable presale momentum that few subsequent releases have approached. With December tentpoles such as Avengers: Doomsday and Dune: Messiah still ahead, traders assign them minimal implied probability of cracking the top three, reflecting historical patterns where animated sequels often post outsized early-summer openings relative to crowded holiday slates. An upset would require one of those late-year films to post an unexpectedly front-loaded gross exceeding Toy Story 5 while another major release surpasses it, a scenario current tracking and market pricing view as unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Jul 23, 2026, 11:38 AM ET
Volume
$30,802Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2026, 11:38 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Toy Story 5’s $159.7 million domestic opening in June established it as the year’s second-biggest debut to date, trailing only Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million launch while comfortably ahead of titles like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie. Strong family appeal, Pixar brand equity, and positive reviews created durable presale momentum that few subsequent releases have approached. With December tentpoles such as Avengers: Doomsday and Dune: Messiah still ahead, traders assign them minimal implied probability of cracking the top three, reflecting historical patterns where animated sequels often post outsized early-summer openings relative to crowded holiday slates. An upset would require one of those late-year films to post an unexpectedly front-loaded gross exceeding Toy Story 5 while another major release surpasses it, a scenario current tracking and market pricing view as unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$30,802Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2026, 11:38 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Toy Story 5’s $159.7 million domestic opening in June established it as the year’s second-biggest debut to date, trailing only Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million launch while comfortably ahead of titles like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie. Strong family appeal, Pixar brand equity, and positive reviews created durable presale momentum that few subsequent releases have approached. With December tentpoles such as Avengers: Doomsday and Dune: Messiah still ahead, traders assign them minimal implied probability of cracking the top three, reflecting historical patterns where animated sequels often post outsized early-summer openings relative to crowded holiday slates. An upset would require one of those late-year films to post an unexpectedly front-loaded gross exceeding Toy Story 5 while another major release surpasses it, a scenario current tracking and market pricing view as unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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