Strong second-quarter earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates and broad double-digit growth led by technology and AI-related capex, have driven recent analyst upgrades, including Barclays raising its year-end 2026 target to 7,950 and HSBC to 8,100. The index, recently near 7,636 after a 12%+ year-to-date advance, trades at forward multiples around 20 times amid resilient economic growth but sticky inflation and elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions. The Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt, with markets pricing limited near-term easing and potential rate hikes, caps multiple expansion while supporting earnings-driven gains. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC meeting with updated projections and upcoming CPI releases that could shift rate expectations and equity sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$341,390 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ 9 300 $
4%
↑ $9,000
5%
↑ 8 600 $
9%
↑ 8 200 $
27%
↑ $8,000
47%
↓ $7,400
73%
↓ $7,200
52%
↓ $7,000
27%
↓ 6 200 $
10%
↓ $6,000
11%
↓ 5 800 $
9%
↓ 5 200 $
6%
↓ 4 500 $
3%
$341,390 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$203 Vol.
3%
↑ 9 300 $
$9,564 Vol.
4%
↑ $9,000
$78 Vol.
5%
↑ 8 600 $
$30,614 Vol.
9%
↑ 8 200 $
$23,827 Vol.
27%
↑ $8,000
$559 Vol.
47%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
73%
↓ $7,200
$5 Vol.
52%
↓ $7,000
$343 Vol.
27%
↓ 6 200 $
$53,694 Vol.
10%
↓ $6,000
$2,970 Vol.
11%
↓ 5 800 $
$41,870 Vol.
9%
↓ 5 200 $
$57,241 Vol.
6%
↓ 4 500 $
$60,371 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong second-quarter earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates and broad double-digit growth led by technology and AI-related capex, have driven recent analyst upgrades, including Barclays raising its year-end 2026 target to 7,950 and HSBC to 8,100. The index, recently near 7,636 after a 12%+ year-to-date advance, trades at forward multiples around 20 times amid resilient economic growth but sticky inflation and elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions. The Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt, with markets pricing limited near-term easing and potential rate hikes, caps multiple expansion while supporting earnings-driven gains. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC meeting with updated projections and upcoming CPI releases that could shift rate expectations and equity sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$341,390Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Résolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong second-quarter earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates and broad double-digit growth led by technology and AI-related capex, have driven recent analyst upgrades, including Barclays raising its year-end 2026 target to 7,950 and HSBC to 8,100. The index, recently near 7,636 after a 12%+ year-to-date advance, trades at forward multiples around 20 times amid resilient economic growth but sticky inflation and elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions. The Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt, with markets pricing limited near-term easing and potential rate hikes, caps multiple expansion while supporting earnings-driven gains. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC meeting with updated projections and upcoming CPI releases that could shift rate expectations and equity sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$341,390Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Strong second-quarter earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates and broad double-digit growth led by technology and AI-related capex, have driven recent analyst upgrades, including Barclays raising its year-end 2026 target to 7,950 and HSBC to 8,100. The index, recently near 7,636 after a 12%+ year-to-date advance, trades at forward multiples around 20 times amid resilient economic growth but sticky inflation and elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions. The Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt, with markets pricing limited near-term easing and potential rate hikes, caps multiple expansion while supporting earnings-driven gains. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC meeting with updated projections and upcoming CPI releases that could shift rate expectations and equity sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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