Heavy rain and associated cloud cover from a passing frontal system have kept Tokyo temperatures stable overnight and through the day, anchoring the minimum near 22°C according to official forecasts and observational trends. Multiple model runs and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance show nighttime lows holding in the 21–24°C range amid high humidity and northerly winds, with little opportunity for radiational cooling. Trader consensus at 95% on 22°C reflects this tight clustering of verified data and the low likelihood of significant deviation before midnight. A rapid clearing of clouds combined with stronger northerly advection or an unexpected model shift could push the minimum to 21°C, though current conditions make such an outcome improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 21 septembre ?
22°C 96%
21°C 5%
19°C 2%
20°C 2%
17°C ou moins
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
96%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou plus
<1%
22°C 96%
21°C 5%
19°C 2%
20°C 2%
17°C ou moins
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
96%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Heavy rain and associated cloud cover from a passing frontal system have kept Tokyo temperatures stable overnight and through the day, anchoring the minimum near 22°C according to official forecasts and observational trends. Multiple model runs and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance show nighttime lows holding in the 21–24°C range amid high humidity and northerly winds, with little opportunity for radiational cooling. Trader consensus at 95% on 22°C reflects this tight clustering of verified data and the low likelihood of significant deviation before midnight. A rapid clearing of clouds combined with stronger northerly advection or an unexpected model shift could push the minimum to 21°C, though current conditions make such an outcome improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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