Traders have converged on 33°C as the implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on September 14, reflecting real-time meteorological data from official Chinese weather services showing daytime maxima stabilizing at that level. Current surface observations and model guidance indicate stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring radiative heating to exactly 33°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze River valley where afternoon peaks often reach the low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates. Ensemble forecasts show tight agreement around this value, with only minor uncertainty from localized urban heat island effects or brief showers. Resolution hinges on verified 24-hour maximum readings from the primary Wuhan station, with final confirmation expected in the next official bulletin; any deviation would require an unforecasted cold front or measurement revision.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 14 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 14 septembre ?
33°C 100%
27°C ou moins <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$36,954 Vol.
$36,954 Vol.
14 sept. 2026
27°C ou moins
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Oui
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C ou plus
Non
33°C 100%
27°C ou moins <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$36,954 Vol.
$36,954 Vol.
14 sept. 2026
27°C ou moins
$266 Vol.
Non
28°C
$237 Vol.
Non
29°C
$1,411 Vol.
Non
30°C
$3,558 Vol.
Non
31°C
$5,420 Vol.
Non
32°C
$13,217 Vol.
Non
33°C
$5,511 Vol.
Oui
34°C
$3,984 Vol.
Non
35°C
$2,473 Vol.
Non
36°C
$391 Vol.
Non
37°C ou plus
$487 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 33°C as the implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on September 14, reflecting real-time meteorological data from official Chinese weather services showing daytime maxima stabilizing at that level. Current surface observations and model guidance indicate stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring radiative heating to exactly 33°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze River valley where afternoon peaks often reach the low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates. Ensemble forecasts show tight agreement around this value, with only minor uncertainty from localized urban heat island effects or brief showers. Resolution hinges on verified 24-hour maximum readings from the primary Wuhan station, with final confirmation expected in the next official bulletin; any deviation would require an unforecasted cold front or measurement revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$36,954Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 33°C as the implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on September 14, reflecting real-time meteorological data from official Chinese weather services showing daytime maxima stabilizing at that level. Current surface observations and model guidance indicate stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring radiative heating to exactly 33°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze River valley where afternoon peaks often reach the low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates. Ensemble forecasts show tight agreement around this value, with only minor uncertainty from localized urban heat island effects or brief showers. Resolution hinges on verified 24-hour maximum readings from the primary Wuhan station, with final confirmation expected in the next official bulletin; any deviation would require an unforecasted cold front or measurement revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,954Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Traders have converged on 33°C as the implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on September 14, reflecting real-time meteorological data from official Chinese weather services showing daytime maxima stabilizing at that level. Current surface observations and model guidance indicate stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring radiative heating to exactly 33°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze River valley where afternoon peaks often reach the low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates. Ensemble forecasts show tight agreement around this value, with only minor uncertainty from localized urban heat island effects or brief showers. Resolution hinges on verified 24-hour maximum readings from the primary Wuhan station, with final confirmation expected in the next official bulletin; any deviation would require an unforecasted cold front or measurement revision.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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