**Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models place Toronto’s October 2 daytime high at or very near 19 °C, driving the 95.5 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome.** Morning showers and northwesterly winds of 20–27 km/h are giving way to partly cloudy skies by afternoon, with observed temperatures reaching 19.2 °C by 4 p.m. EDT. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.2 °C for the date. Strong consensus across GFS, Met Office, and Canadian guidance, combined with limited afternoon heating under clearing skies, leaves little room for deviation. Only an unexpected late-day surge above 20 °C or a downward revision in final station readings could realistically shift the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourView resolved

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