**Real-time station observations and model consensus from Chinese meteorological sources have aligned on a daily maximum of 32°C for Shenzhen on September 19, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming.** This matches the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for exactly 32°C, reflecting traders' confidence in verified measurements rather than broader forecasts. Typical late-September subtropical conditions in the region produce highs of 30–33°C, and the absence of significant moisture or frontal systems has kept temperatures within this narrow band. The outcome could shift only if official reporting from the China Meteorological Administration revises station data or applies a different averaging methodology before final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 19 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 19 septembre ?
32°C 100.0%
28°C ou moins <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$45,945 Vol.
$45,945 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Oui
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
Non
38°C ou plus
Non
32°C 100.0%
28°C ou moins <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$45,945 Vol.
$45,945 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
$111 Vol.
Non
29°C
$987 Vol.
Non
30°C
$3,416 Vol.
Non
31°C
$6,159 Vol.
Non
32°C
$10,312 Vol.
Oui
33°C
$7,431 Vol.
Non
34°C
$10,968 Vol.
Non
35°C
$4,043 Vol.
Non
36°C
$1,272 Vol.
Non
37°C
$441 Vol.
Non
38°C ou plus
$805 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Real-time station observations and model consensus from Chinese meteorological sources have aligned on a daily maximum of 32°C for Shenzhen on September 19, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming.** This matches the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for exactly 32°C, reflecting traders' confidence in verified measurements rather than broader forecasts. Typical late-September subtropical conditions in the region produce highs of 30–33°C, and the absence of significant moisture or frontal systems has kept temperatures within this narrow band. The outcome could shift only if official reporting from the China Meteorological Administration revises station data or applies a different averaging methodology before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$45,945Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Real-time station observations and model consensus from Chinese meteorological sources have aligned on a daily maximum of 32°C for Shenzhen on September 19, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming.** This matches the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for exactly 32°C, reflecting traders' confidence in verified measurements rather than broader forecasts. Typical late-September subtropical conditions in the region produce highs of 30–33°C, and the absence of significant moisture or frontal systems has kept temperatures within this narrow band. The outcome could shift only if official reporting from the China Meteorological Administration revises station data or applies a different averaging methodology before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45,945Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Real-time station observations and model consensus from Chinese meteorological sources have aligned on a daily maximum of 32°C for Shenzhen on September 19, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming.** This matches the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for exactly 32°C, reflecting traders' confidence in verified measurements rather than broader forecasts. Typical late-September subtropical conditions in the region produce highs of 30–33°C, and the absence of significant moisture or frontal systems has kept temperatures within this narrow band. The outcome could shift only if official reporting from the China Meteorological Administration revises station data or applies a different averaging methodology before final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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