Official weather observations for Shenzhen on September 12, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 34°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and scattered showers, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. Multiple forecast models converged on this peak after accounting for regional humidity levels near 80% and minimal cloud cover during midday hours, consistent with typical early-September subtropical patterns where highs often reach 31–34°C. Trader consensus reflects these verified station readings and short-range model agreement rather than longer-term projections. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from primary monitoring networks or confirmation that an alternate station captured a meaningfully lower maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 12 septembre ?
34°C 100.0%
27°C ou moins <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$55,099 Vol.
$55,099 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
27°C ou moins
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Oui
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C ou plus
Non
34°C 100.0%
27°C ou moins <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$55,099 Vol.
$55,099 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
27°C ou moins
$5,412 Vol.
Non
28°C
$2,000 Vol.
Non
29°C
$2,888 Vol.
Non
30°C
$2,595 Vol.
Non
31°C
$13,750 Vol.
Non
32°C
$5,727 Vol.
Non
33°C
$6,376 Vol.
Non
34°C
$10,006 Vol.
Oui
35°C
$3,964 Vol.
Non
36°C
$1,275 Vol.
Non
37°C ou plus
$1,106 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official weather observations for Shenzhen on September 12, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 34°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and scattered showers, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. Multiple forecast models converged on this peak after accounting for regional humidity levels near 80% and minimal cloud cover during midday hours, consistent with typical early-September subtropical patterns where highs often reach 31–34°C. Trader consensus reflects these verified station readings and short-range model agreement rather than longer-term projections. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from primary monitoring networks or confirmation that an alternate station captured a meaningfully lower maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$55,099Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official weather observations for Shenzhen on September 12, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 34°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and scattered showers, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. Multiple forecast models converged on this peak after accounting for regional humidity levels near 80% and minimal cloud cover during midday hours, consistent with typical early-September subtropical patterns where highs often reach 31–34°C. Trader consensus reflects these verified station readings and short-range model agreement rather than longer-term projections. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from primary monitoring networks or confirmation that an alternate station captured a meaningfully lower maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55,099Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official weather observations for Shenzhen on September 12, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 34°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and scattered showers, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. Multiple forecast models converged on this peak after accounting for regional humidity levels near 80% and minimal cloud cover during midday hours, consistent with typical early-September subtropical patterns where highs often reach 31–34°C. Trader consensus reflects these verified station readings and short-range model agreement rather than longer-term projections. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from primary monitoring networks or confirmation that an alternate station captured a meaningfully lower maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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