**Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS data and agency outlooks, indicate Manila's daily high on September 15 will reach 31°C amid typical monsoon-season conditions of scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80-90%, and light winds.** This aligns with September climatology showing average highs of 30-32°C and supports the market's near-100% implied probability for exactly 31°C as the peak. Trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of ensemble predictions and absence of signals for significant deviation. A realistic challenge could arise from prolonged clearing that allows greater solar heating or heavier rainfall suppressing the maximum, though current guidance shows low likelihood of either extreme.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 15 septembre ?
31°C 100.0%
27°C ou moins <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$43,401 Vol.
$43,401 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
27°C ou moins
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Oui
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C ou plus
Non
31°C 100.0%
27°C ou moins <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$43,401 Vol.
$43,401 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
27°C ou moins
$66 Vol.
Non
28°C
$20 Vol.
Non
29°C
$357 Vol.
Non
30°C
$12,951 Vol.
Non
31°C
$11,526 Vol.
Oui
32°C
$6,595 Vol.
Non
33°C
$8,130 Vol.
Non
34°C
$2,978 Vol.
Non
35°C
$696 Vol.
Non
36°C
$66 Vol.
Non
37°C ou plus
$16 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS data and agency outlooks, indicate Manila's daily high on September 15 will reach 31°C amid typical monsoon-season conditions of scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80-90%, and light winds.** This aligns with September climatology showing average highs of 30-32°C and supports the market's near-100% implied probability for exactly 31°C as the peak. Trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of ensemble predictions and absence of signals for significant deviation. A realistic challenge could arise from prolonged clearing that allows greater solar heating or heavier rainfall suppressing the maximum, though current guidance shows low likelihood of either extreme.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Volume
$43,401Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS data and agency outlooks, indicate Manila's daily high on September 15 will reach 31°C amid typical monsoon-season conditions of scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80-90%, and light winds.** This aligns with September climatology showing average highs of 30-32°C and supports the market's near-100% implied probability for exactly 31°C as the peak. Trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of ensemble predictions and absence of signals for significant deviation. A realistic challenge could arise from prolonged clearing that allows greater solar heating or heavier rainfall suppressing the maximum, though current guidance shows low likelihood of either extreme.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,401Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS data and agency outlooks, indicate Manila's daily high on September 15 will reach 31°C amid typical monsoon-season conditions of scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80-90%, and light winds.** This aligns with September climatology showing average highs of 30-32°C and supports the market's near-100% implied probability for exactly 31°C as the peak. Trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of ensemble predictions and absence of signals for significant deviation. A realistic challenge could arise from prolonged clearing that allows greater solar heating or heavier rainfall suppressing the maximum, though current guidance shows low likelihood of either extreme.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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