**Trader consensus on a maximum temperature of 33°C or higher in Lucknow on September 16 rests on official observations and short-range forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models.** Recent data show daytime highs reaching 34–35°C at Lucknow Airport and nearby stations under partly cloudy monsoon conditions, with dew points near 26–27°C and light winds failing to deliver significant cooling. These readings align with typical late-September patterns in Uttar Pradesh, where residual heat and humidity persist despite scattered showers. The 100% market-implied probability reflects near-certainty that the daily maximum will exceed the threshold, though minor downward revisions remain possible if unforecast heavy afternoon convection develops or if official verification adjusts the peak by 1°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 16 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 16 septembre ?
33°C ou plus 100.0%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$31,516 Vol.
$31,516 Vol.
16 sept. 2026
23°C ou moins
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C ou plus
Oui
33°C ou plus 100.0%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$31,516 Vol.
$31,516 Vol.
16 sept. 2026
23°C ou moins
$1,294 Vol.
Non
24°C
$294 Vol.
Non
25°C
$990 Vol.
Non
26°C
$356 Vol.
Non
27°C
$145 Vol.
Non
28°C
$372 Vol.
Non
29°C
$2,427 Vol.
Non
30°C
$2,531 Vol.
Non
31°C
$1,956 Vol.
Non
32°C
$13,357 Vol.
Non
33°C ou plus
$7,794 Vol.
Oui
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a maximum temperature of 33°C or higher in Lucknow on September 16 rests on official observations and short-range forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models.** Recent data show daytime highs reaching 34–35°C at Lucknow Airport and nearby stations under partly cloudy monsoon conditions, with dew points near 26–27°C and light winds failing to deliver significant cooling. These readings align with typical late-September patterns in Uttar Pradesh, where residual heat and humidity persist despite scattered showers. The 100% market-implied probability reflects near-certainty that the daily maximum will exceed the threshold, though minor downward revisions remain possible if unforecast heavy afternoon convection develops or if official verification adjusts the peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$31,516Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a maximum temperature of 33°C or higher in Lucknow on September 16 rests on official observations and short-range forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models.** Recent data show daytime highs reaching 34–35°C at Lucknow Airport and nearby stations under partly cloudy monsoon conditions, with dew points near 26–27°C and light winds failing to deliver significant cooling. These readings align with typical late-September patterns in Uttar Pradesh, where residual heat and humidity persist despite scattered showers. The 100% market-implied probability reflects near-certainty that the daily maximum will exceed the threshold, though minor downward revisions remain possible if unforecast heavy afternoon convection develops or if official verification adjusts the peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,516Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Trader consensus on a maximum temperature of 33°C or higher in Lucknow on September 16 rests on official observations and short-range forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models.** Recent data show daytime highs reaching 34–35°C at Lucknow Airport and nearby stations under partly cloudy monsoon conditions, with dew points near 26–27°C and light winds failing to deliver significant cooling. These readings align with typical late-September patterns in Uttar Pradesh, where residual heat and humidity persist despite scattered showers. The 100% market-implied probability reflects near-certainty that the daily maximum will exceed the threshold, though minor downward revisions remain possible if unforecast heavy afternoon convection develops or if official verification adjusts the peak by 1°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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