Traders assign near-certain probability to a 37°C high in Karachi on September 20 because Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical models consistently project a daytime peak near that threshold under mostly clear skies, light westerly to northwesterly flow, and typical post-monsoon humidity. Official guidance notes sea breezes moderating extremes while afternoon temperatures climb from overnight lows near 26°C, aligning with climatological September averages around 35°C yet nudged higher by current atmospheric patterns. This market-implied outcome reflects aggregated real-time observations and model consensus rather than speculation. A stronger-than-expected sea breeze, increased cloud cover, or revised station measurements could still shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C before final verification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Karachi le 20 septembre ?
37°C 100%
32°C ou moins <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$33,400 Vol.
$33,400 Vol.
32°C ou moins
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
Oui
38°C
Non
39°C
Non
40°C
Non
41°C
Non
42°C ou plus
Non
37°C 100%
32°C ou moins <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$33,400 Vol.
$33,400 Vol.
32°C ou moins
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
Oui
38°C
Non
39°C
Non
40°C
Non
41°C
Non
42°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Traders assign near-certain probability to a 37°C high in Karachi on September 20 because Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical models consistently project a daytime peak near that threshold under mostly clear skies, light westerly to northwesterly flow, and typical post-monsoon humidity. Official guidance notes sea breezes moderating extremes while afternoon temperatures climb from overnight lows near 26°C, aligning with climatological September averages around 35°C yet nudged higher by current atmospheric patterns. This market-implied outcome reflects aggregated real-time observations and model consensus rather than speculation. A stronger-than-expected sea breeze, increased cloud cover, or revised station measurements could still shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C before final verification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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