Trader consensus has coalesced around 28°C as the official daily maximum for Busan on September 19 because Korea Meteorological Administration observations reached a peak of 28.6°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and steady northeast winds of 10–15 m/s. This aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing limited daytime heating capped near 27–28°C amid moderate humidity and no significant advection of warmer air. The market-implied 100% probability for exactly 28°C reflects traders’ confidence that the KMA station reading will resolve at or immediately adjacent to this threshold once final quality-controlled data are posted. A realistic challenge would require either a revised station maximum falling to 27°C from measurement adjustments or an unexpected late-day spike pushing the official high to 29°C, both of which appear improbable given the current observed trajectory and stable synoptic pattern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Busan le 19 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Busan le 19 septembre ?
28°C 100%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$44,072 Vol.
$44,072 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Oui
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C ou plus
Non
28°C 100%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$44,072 Vol.
$44,072 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$706 Vol.
Non
23°C
$512 Vol.
Non
24°C
$524 Vol.
Non
25°C
$934 Vol.
Non
26°C
$6,058 Vol.
Non
27°C
$11,955 Vol.
Non
28°C
$8,723 Vol.
Oui
29°C
$6,674 Vol.
Non
30°C
$6,311 Vol.
Non
31°C
$1,420 Vol.
Non
32°C ou plus
$256 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around 28°C as the official daily maximum for Busan on September 19 because Korea Meteorological Administration observations reached a peak of 28.6°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and steady northeast winds of 10–15 m/s. This aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing limited daytime heating capped near 27–28°C amid moderate humidity and no significant advection of warmer air. The market-implied 100% probability for exactly 28°C reflects traders’ confidence that the KMA station reading will resolve at or immediately adjacent to this threshold once final quality-controlled data are posted. A realistic challenge would require either a revised station maximum falling to 27°C from measurement adjustments or an unexpected late-day spike pushing the official high to 29°C, both of which appear improbable given the current observed trajectory and stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$44,072Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around 28°C as the official daily maximum for Busan on September 19 because Korea Meteorological Administration observations reached a peak of 28.6°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and steady northeast winds of 10–15 m/s. This aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing limited daytime heating capped near 27–28°C amid moderate humidity and no significant advection of warmer air. The market-implied 100% probability for exactly 28°C reflects traders’ confidence that the KMA station reading will resolve at or immediately adjacent to this threshold once final quality-controlled data are posted. A realistic challenge would require either a revised station maximum falling to 27°C from measurement adjustments or an unexpected late-day spike pushing the official high to 29°C, both of which appear improbable given the current observed trajectory and stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,072Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus has coalesced around 28°C as the official daily maximum for Busan on September 19 because Korea Meteorological Administration observations reached a peak of 28.6°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and steady northeast winds of 10–15 m/s. This aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing limited daytime heating capped near 27–28°C amid moderate humidity and no significant advection of warmer air. The market-implied 100% probability for exactly 28°C reflects traders’ confidence that the KMA station reading will resolve at or immediately adjacent to this threshold once final quality-controlled data are posted. A realistic challenge would require either a revised station maximum falling to 27°C from measurement adjustments or an unexpected late-day spike pushing the official high to 29°C, both of which appear improbable given the current observed trajectory and stable synoptic pattern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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