Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show clear skies and light northerly flow over Busan on October 2, supporting a daytime maximum near 24°C as cooler autumn air masses limit radiative heating despite strong insolation. Light winds and low humidity favor efficient surface warming but without strong advection or moisture to push peaks higher, while coastal sea-breeze effects may cap afternoon readings. The near-even split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities reflects tight ensemble spread in peak temperature, with minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or exact wind timing able to tip the outcome either way; 23°C remains possible only if models trend cooler overnight.