Recent forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles converge on a high temperature in Ankara near 19–21°C for September 23, driven by northerly flow and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal norms for late September but reflects a slight cooling trend after warmer conditions earlier in the month. Trader pricing, with 23°C or higher leading at 31.5% implied probability followed closely by 19–20°C outcomes, captures model spread and potential for localized clearing that could allow brief warming. Key variables include exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture, with updated runs expected to narrow resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 23 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Ankara le 23 septembre ?
17°C 39%
16°C 31%
23°C ou plus 31%
19°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
3%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
31%
17°C
39%
18°C
20%
19°C
28%
20°C
28%
21°C
15%
22°C
8%
23°C ou plus
31%
17°C 39%
16°C 31%
23°C ou plus 31%
19°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
3%
14°C
$5 Vol.
4%
15°C
$5 Vol.
4%
16°C
$0 Vol.
31%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$0 Vol.
28%
20°C
$0 Vol.
28%
21°C
$0 Vol.
15%
22°C
$0 Vol.
8%
23°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles converge on a high temperature in Ankara near 19–21°C for September 23, driven by northerly flow and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal norms for late September but reflects a slight cooling trend after warmer conditions earlier in the month. Trader pricing, with 23°C or higher leading at 31.5% implied probability followed closely by 19–20°C outcomes, captures model spread and potential for localized clearing that could allow brief warming. Key variables include exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture, with updated runs expected to narrow resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$10Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles converge on a high temperature in Ankara near 19–21°C for September 23, driven by northerly flow and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal norms for late September but reflects a slight cooling trend after warmer conditions earlier in the month. Trader pricing, with 23°C or higher leading at 31.5% implied probability followed closely by 19–20°C outcomes, captures model spread and potential for localized clearing that could allow brief warming. Key variables include exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture, with updated runs expected to narrow resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles converge on a high temperature in Ankara near 19–21°C for September 23, driven by northerly flow and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal norms for late September but reflects a slight cooling trend after warmer conditions earlier in the month. Trader pricing, with 23°C or higher leading at 31.5% implied probability followed closely by 19–20°C outcomes, captures model spread and potential for localized clearing that could allow brief warming. Key variables include exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture, with updated runs expected to narrow resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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