Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges in the Strait of Hormuz since February 2026, including reported US projectile strikes on Hengam Island in July and attacks on nearby Qeshm and Larak facilities, have drawn trader attention to the island's strategic role in monitoring shipping lanes. Iran has reinforced troop deployments, naval assets, and defensive positions across its Gulf islands, including Hengam, while maintaining administrative and military authority. Recent incidents, such as the September 13 projectile strike on a commercial vessel near Hengam that killed one crew member, reflect heightened maritime tensions but have not altered effective Iranian control. Market pricing reflects the absence of verified territorial shifts or occupation, with traders assessing risks of further escalation or negotiated pauses against Iran's repeated assertions of sovereignty over the island.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourL'île de Hengam n'est plus sous contrôle iranien par... ?
L'île de Hengam n'est plus sous contrôle iranien par... ?
$208,473 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
30 septembre
1%
$208,473 Vol.
30 septembre
$2,633 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges in the Strait of Hormuz since February 2026, including reported US projectile strikes on Hengam Island in July and attacks on nearby Qeshm and Larak facilities, have drawn trader attention to the island's strategic role in monitoring shipping lanes. Iran has reinforced troop deployments, naval assets, and defensive positions across its Gulf islands, including Hengam, while maintaining administrative and military authority. Recent incidents, such as the September 13 projectile strike on a commercial vessel near Hengam that killed one crew member, reflect heightened maritime tensions but have not altered effective Iranian control. Market pricing reflects the absence of verified territorial shifts or occupation, with traders assessing risks of further escalation or negotiated pauses against Iran's repeated assertions of sovereignty over the island.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Aug 26, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$208,473Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges in the Strait of Hormuz since February 2026, including reported US projectile strikes on Hengam Island in July and attacks on nearby Qeshm and Larak facilities, have drawn trader attention to the island's strategic role in monitoring shipping lanes. Iran has reinforced troop deployments, naval assets, and defensive positions across its Gulf islands, including Hengam, while maintaining administrative and military authority. Recent incidents, such as the September 13 projectile strike on a commercial vessel near Hengam that killed one crew member, reflect heightened maritime tensions but have not altered effective Iranian control. Market pricing reflects the absence of verified territorial shifts or occupation, with traders assessing risks of further escalation or negotiated pauses against Iran's repeated assertions of sovereignty over the island.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$208,473Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges in the Strait of Hormuz since February 2026, including reported US projectile strikes on Hengam Island in July and attacks on nearby Qeshm and Larak facilities, have drawn trader attention to the island's strategic role in monitoring shipping lanes. Iran has reinforced troop deployments, naval assets, and defensive positions across its Gulf islands, including Hengam, while maintaining administrative and military authority. Recent incidents, such as the September 13 projectile strike on a commercial vessel near Hengam that killed one crew member, reflect heightened maritime tensions but have not altered effective Iranian control. Market pricing reflects the absence of verified territorial shifts or occupation, with traders assessing risks of further escalation or negotiated pauses against Iran's repeated assertions of sovereignty over the island.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes