Elon Musk’s established posting cadence on X, averaging roughly 23–27 qualifying main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day across early and mid-September windows, anchors trader consensus around the 800–879 brackets. Recent three-day samples resolving in the 40–64 range and weekly tallies landing near 186–219 reinforce a steady rhythm without major spikes, even amid ongoing AI, SpaceX, and platform commentary. With nine days remaining, momentum hinges on whether daily volume holds near the observed mean or shifts due to breaking news cycles, keeping the 840–879 outcome the narrow leader at 24.5% implied probability while adjacent bands stay tightly contested.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour840-879 25%
800-839 20%
880-919 19%
760-799 13%
$178,287 Vol.
$178,287 Vol.
560-599
<1%
600-639
<1%
640-679
<1%
680-719
1%
720-759
5%
760-799
13%
800-839
20%
840-879
25%
880-919
19%
920-959
12%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
4%
1040-1079
2%
1080-1119
1%
1120-1159
<1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400+
<1%
840-879 25%
800-839 20%
880-919 19%
760-799 13%
$178,287 Vol.
$178,287 Vol.
560-599
<1%
600-639
<1%
640-679
<1%
680-719
1%
720-759
5%
760-799
13%
800-839
20%
840-879
25%
880-919
19%
920-959
12%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
4%
1040-1079
2%
1080-1119
1%
1120-1159
<1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established posting cadence on X, averaging roughly 23–27 qualifying main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day across early and mid-September windows, anchors trader consensus around the 800–879 brackets. Recent three-day samples resolving in the 40–64 range and weekly tallies landing near 186–219 reinforce a steady rhythm without major spikes, even amid ongoing AI, SpaceX, and platform commentary. With nine days remaining, momentum hinges on whether daily volume holds near the observed mean or shifts due to breaking news cycles, keeping the 840–879 outcome the narrow leader at 24.5% implied probability while adjacent bands stay tightly contested.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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