Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holds a near-certain position at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of September 26 due to its unmatched multi-week dominance in streaming, radio airplay, and sales. The track recently tied Mariah Carey's all-time record with 22 weeks at the summit, extending a run that began in February 2026 and includes multiple returns to the top amid consistent metrics around 24 million streams and strong country crossover airplay. Taylor Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You," a summer top-five contender tied to the Toy Story 5 soundtrack, and other tracks like Morgan Wallen's "Been By Now" or Ariana Grande's latest single lack the sustained momentum to overtake it before the tracking period closes. An upset would require an unprecedented late surge from a new release or major promotional event, which current industry tracking does not indicate.