**The Bank of Korea’s recent back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August, lifting the benchmark rate to 3.00%, represent the primary driver behind the 77.5% implied probability of no change at the October meeting.** Strong semiconductor export growth tied to global AI demand has boosted 2026 GDP forecasts to 3.3%, while August headline inflation rebounded to 3.1% and core inflation reached 3.4%, keeping price pressures above the 2% target amid Middle East oil risks. The central bank’s September 10 monetary policy report and board member comments emphasize assessing the impact of prior tightening and monitoring demand spillovers before further moves, aligning with the modest 22.5% odds of another hike and near-zero probabilities for cuts. This gradual approach contrasts with earlier acceleration, supporting trader consensus for a pause at the next policy meeting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAucun changement 78%
Hausse de 25 pdb 23%
Hausse de 50 points de base ou plus 1.4%
Baisse de 25 points de base 1.0%
$10,726 Vol.
$10,726 Vol.
21 oct. 2026
Baisse de 50 points de base ou plus
1%
Baisse de 25 points de base
1%
Aucun changement
78%
Hausse de 25 pdb
23%
Hausse de 50 points de base ou plus
1%
Aucun changement 78%
Hausse de 25 pdb 23%
Hausse de 50 points de base ou plus 1.4%
Baisse de 25 points de base 1.0%
$10,726 Vol.
$10,726 Vol.
21 oct. 2026
Baisse de 50 points de base ou plus
$213 Vol.
1%
Baisse de 25 points de base
$374 Vol.
1%
Aucun changement
$6,038 Vol.
78%
Hausse de 25 pdb
$3,770 Vol.
23%
Hausse de 50 points de base ou plus
$331 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.**The Bank of Korea’s recent back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August, lifting the benchmark rate to 3.00%, represent the primary driver behind the 77.5% implied probability of no change at the October meeting.** Strong semiconductor export growth tied to global AI demand has boosted 2026 GDP forecasts to 3.3%, while August headline inflation rebounded to 3.1% and core inflation reached 3.4%, keeping price pressures above the 2% target amid Middle East oil risks. The central bank’s September 10 monetary policy report and board member comments emphasize assessing the impact of prior tightening and monitoring demand spillovers before further moves, aligning with the modest 22.5% odds of another hike and near-zero probabilities for cuts. This gradual approach contrasts with earlier acceleration, supporting trader consensus for a pause at the next policy meeting.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Volume
$10,726Date de fin
22 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.**The Bank of Korea’s recent back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August, lifting the benchmark rate to 3.00%, represent the primary driver behind the 77.5% implied probability of no change at the October meeting.** Strong semiconductor export growth tied to global AI demand has boosted 2026 GDP forecasts to 3.3%, while August headline inflation rebounded to 3.1% and core inflation reached 3.4%, keeping price pressures above the 2% target amid Middle East oil risks. The central bank’s September 10 monetary policy report and board member comments emphasize assessing the impact of prior tightening and monitoring demand spillovers before further moves, aligning with the modest 22.5% odds of another hike and near-zero probabilities for cuts. This gradual approach contrasts with earlier acceleration, supporting trader consensus for a pause at the next policy meeting.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Volume
$10,726Date de fin
22 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**The Bank of Korea’s recent back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August, lifting the benchmark rate to 3.00%, represent the primary driver behind the 77.5% implied probability of no change at the October meeting.** Strong semiconductor export growth tied to global AI demand has boosted 2026 GDP forecasts to 3.3%, while August headline inflation rebounded to 3.1% and core inflation reached 3.4%, keeping price pressures above the 2% target amid Middle East oil risks. The central bank’s September 10 monetary policy report and board member comments emphasize assessing the impact of prior tightening and monitoring demand spillovers before further moves, aligning with the modest 22.5% odds of another hike and near-zero probabilities for cuts. This gradual approach contrasts with earlier acceleration, supporting trader consensus for a pause at the next policy meeting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La Banque de Corée relèvera-t-elle son taux de 25 points de base lors de la réunion de novembre 2026 ?
46%
Oui
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
49%
La Banque de réserve de l’Inde augmentera-t-elle le taux repo directeur de plus de 50 points de base lors de la réunion d’octobre ?
45%
Oui
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes