**Aryna Sabalenka leads trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability as the two-time defending U.S. Open champion with the strongest hard-court pedigree among the field.** She has reached six consecutive semifinals in New York and enters the 2026 edition with multiple 2026 WTA 1000 titles plus a history of deep Grand Slam runs on the surface. Elena Rybakina (24.2%) has climbed to world No. 1 after her Australian Open title and consistent results, reaching the semifinals here while securing the top ranking. Coco Gauff (24.9%) benefits from recent hard-court momentum, including a Cincinnati title, and strong return play that has kept her competitive in majors. Jessica Pegula (12.4%) rounds out the leaders through steady consistency, the most wins among top seeds this season, and repeated deep runs, though her lack of prior Slam titles keeps her priced behind the others. The top-four seeds meeting in the semifinals underscores the tight contest reflected in current pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAryna Sabalenka 37%
Coco Gauff 24.9%
Elena Rybakina 24.3%
Jessica Pegula 12.4%
$10,648,837 Vol.
$10,648,837 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
37%
Coco Gauff
25%
Elena Rybakina
24%
Jessica Pegula
12%
Aryna Sabalenka 37%
Coco Gauff 24.9%
Elena Rybakina 24.3%
Jessica Pegula 12.4%
$10,648,837 Vol.
$10,648,837 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
37%
Coco Gauff
25%
Elena Rybakina
24%
Jessica Pegula
12%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...**Aryna Sabalenka leads trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability as the two-time defending U.S. Open champion with the strongest hard-court pedigree among the field.** She has reached six consecutive semifinals in New York and enters the 2026 edition with multiple 2026 WTA 1000 titles plus a history of deep Grand Slam runs on the surface. Elena Rybakina (24.2%) has climbed to world No. 1 after her Australian Open title and consistent results, reaching the semifinals here while securing the top ranking. Coco Gauff (24.9%) benefits from recent hard-court momentum, including a Cincinnati title, and strong return play that has kept her competitive in majors. Jessica Pegula (12.4%) rounds out the leaders through steady consistency, the most wins among top seeds this season, and repeated deep runs, though her lack of prior Slam titles keeps her priced behind the others. The top-four seeds meeting in the semifinals underscores the tight contest reflected in current pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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