Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 53.8% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign that delivered 73 goals in 65 appearances for Bayern Munich and England. The England striker's output included Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal titles plus standout World Cup contributions as the Three Lions finished third. Trader consensus reflects Kane's unmatched consistency and big-game impact. Lamine Yamal sits at 22.1% following La Liga success with Barcelona and Spain's World Cup triumph, though hamstring and pubalgia issues restricted his tournament influence. Kylian Mbappé at 11.6% and Rodri at 4.5% factor in sustained elite form and prior accolades, while lower-priced names like Lionel Messi and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia trail amid the shortlist released on September 8 ahead of the October 26 ceremony.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHarry Kane 53.8%
Lamine Yamal 22.1%
Kylian Mbappé 11.6%
Rodri 5%
$35,973,180 Vol.
$35,973,180 Vol.
Harry Kane
54%
Lamine Yamal
22%
Kylian Mbappé
12%
Rodri
5%
Lionel Messi
3%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Harry Kane 53.8%
Lamine Yamal 22.1%
Kylian Mbappé 11.6%
Rodri 5%
$35,973,180 Vol.
$35,973,180 Vol.
Harry Kane
54%
Lamine Yamal
22%
Kylian Mbappé
12%
Rodri
5%
Lionel Messi
3%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 53.8% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign that delivered 73 goals in 65 appearances for Bayern Munich and England. The England striker's output included Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal titles plus standout World Cup contributions as the Three Lions finished third. Trader consensus reflects Kane's unmatched consistency and big-game impact. Lamine Yamal sits at 22.1% following La Liga success with Barcelona and Spain's World Cup triumph, though hamstring and pubalgia issues restricted his tournament influence. Kylian Mbappé at 11.6% and Rodri at 4.5% factor in sustained elite form and prior accolades, while lower-priced names like Lionel Messi and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia trail amid the shortlist released on September 8 ahead of the October 26 ceremony.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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