Banksy’s official Instagram account (@banksy) functions primarily as a verification channel for new street works rather than a regular content feed, with only 154 total posts and no activity since at least early September 2026. Traders assign the 68% market-implied probability to “No” because the artist’s posting remains sporadic and event-driven, typically following high-profile murals, London installations, or political moments that require authentication. With roughly three weeks until the September 30 deadline and no fresh catalyst on the horizon, the current consensus reflects the low likelihood of an unprompted update. A surprise drop or UK news development could quickly shift momentum toward “Yes,” but historical patterns favor continued silence absent such triggers.