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icon for Which players will retire before 1 July 2027?
Sports·Soccer

Which players will retire before 1 July 2027?

icon for Which players will retire before 1 July 2027?
Sports·Soccer

Which players will retire before 1 July 2027?

NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

Ivan Perisic

$0 Vol.

52%

Lionel Messi

$0 Vol.

51%

Luis Suarez

$0 Vol.

51%

Robert Lewandowski

$0 Vol.

50%

Thomas Muller

$0 Vol.

50%

Manuel Neuer

$0 Vol.

50%

Edin Dzeko

$0 Vol.

50%

Wojciech Szczesny

$0 Vol.

49%

Angel Di Maria

$0 Vol.

49%

Marco Reus

$0 Vol.

31%

James Rodriguez

$0 Vol.

30%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$0 Vol.

29%

Karim Benzema

$0 Vol.

27%

Luka Modric

$0 Vol.

26%

Olivier Giroud

$0 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player announces his retirement from professional football on or before June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that the player is retiring from professional club football, and must come from the player himself, his official representatives, or his club. Retirement from international football alone does not qualify. The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately or before the start of the next club season following the announcement. A player who is without a club but has not announced his retirement has not retired for the purposes of this market. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the player or his club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Veteran athletes across the NFL, NBA, tennis, and soccer face mounting physical demands at advanced ages, with recent retirements by Brandon Graham after 16 NFL seasons and Russell Westbrook after 18 NBA seasons highlighting how workload, injuries, and contract timelines accelerate exits. Novak Djokovic’s first-round US Open loss and comments on bodily recovery have elevated implied probabilities for his retirement before mid-2027, while players like LeBron James, Derrick Henry, and Manuel Neuer navigate one-year deals or extensions amid performance questions. Soccer stars out of contract in 2027, including several Premier League and La Liga veterans, add resolution uncertainty tied to form and roster decisions, as traders weigh historical patterns of running backs, guards, and goalkeepers retiring post-peak seasons against potential comebacks or load management.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player announces his retirement from professional football on or before June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that the player is retiring from professional club football, and must come from the player himself, his official representatives, or his club. Retirement from international football alone does not qualify.

The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately or before the start of the next club season following the announcement.

A player who is without a club but has not announced his retirement has not retired for the purposes of this market.

The primary resolution source will be official statements from the player or his club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player announces his retirement from professional football on or before June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that the player is retiring from professional club football, and must come from the player himself, his official representatives, or his club. Retirement from international football alone does not qualify. The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately or before the start of the next club season following the announcement. A player who is without a club but has not announced his retirement has not retired for the purposes of this market. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the player or his club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player announces his retirement from professional football on or before June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that the player is retiring from professional club football, and must come from the player himself, his official representatives, or his club. Retirement from international football alone does not qualify. The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately or before the start of the next club season following the announcement. A player who is without a club but has not announced his retirement has not retired for the purposes of this market. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the player or his club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Veteran athletes across the NFL, NBA, tennis, and soccer face mounting physical demands at advanced ages, with recent retirements by Brandon Graham after 16 NFL seasons and Russell Westbrook after 18 NBA seasons highlighting how workload, injuries, and contract timelines accelerate exits. Novak Djokovic’s first-round US Open loss and comments on bodily recovery have elevated implied probabilities for his retirement before mid-2027, while players like LeBron James, Derrick Henry, and Manuel Neuer navigate one-year deals or extensions amid performance questions. Soccer stars out of contract in 2027, including several Premier League and La Liga veterans, add resolution uncertainty tied to form and roster decisions, as traders weigh historical patterns of running backs, guards, and goalkeepers retiring post-peak seasons against potential comebacks or load management.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player announces his retirement from professional football on or before June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that the player is retiring from professional club football, and must come from the player himself, his official representatives, or his club. Retirement from international football alone does not qualify.

The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately or before the start of the next club season following the announcement.

A player who is without a club but has not announced his retirement has not retired for the purposes of this market.

The primary resolution source will be official statements from the player or his club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player announces his retirement from professional football on or before June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that the player is retiring from professional club football, and must come from the player himself, his official representatives, or his club. Retirement from international football alone does not qualify. The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately or before the start of the next club season following the announcement. A player who is without a club but has not announced his retirement has not retired for the purposes of this market. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the player or his club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which players will retire before 1 July 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ivan Perisic" at 52%, followed by "Lionel Messi" at 51%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Which players will retire before 1 July 2027?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Which players will retire before 1 July 2027?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which players will retire before 1 July 2027?" is "Ivan Perisic" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lionel Messi" at 51%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which players will retire before 1 July 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.