Idaho voters will select their preferred official state gun via a non-binding advisory question on the November 2026 ballot, choosing from six historical firearms including the Winchester Model 1873, Colt Peacemaker, Colt M1911, Winchester Model 1894, M1 Garand, and Remington Model 700. The measure, enacted through House Bill 932 earlier this year, aims to inform legislative action on a state symbol amid Idaho’s strong gun ownership traditions. Trader pricing shows the Winchester Model 1873 leading at 42.5 percent implied probability, followed by the Colt Peacemaker at 27 percent, reflecting assessments of which option best aligns with Western heritage and voter appeal. With no major recent developments or public polling available, the contest remains fluid, and factors such as voter pamphlet descriptions, any late additions by the Legislative Council, or campaign visibility could shift sentiment ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWinchester Model 1873 45%
Colt Peacemaker 24%
Colt M1911 14%
Winchester Model 1894 9%
Winchester Model 1873
45%
Colt Peacemaker
24%
Colt M1911
14%
Winchester Model 1894
9%
M1 Garand
4%
Remington Model 700
1%
Winchester Model 1873 45%
Colt Peacemaker 24%
Colt M1911 14%
Winchester Model 1894 9%
Winchester Model 1873
45%
Colt Peacemaker
24%
Colt M1911
14%
Winchester Model 1894
9%
M1 Garand
4%
Remington Model 700
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Idaho Official State Gun Question in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named options will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more options are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the options. This market will resolve to the option that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Idaho Official State Gun Question in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named options will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more options are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the options. This market will resolve to the option that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Idaho voters will select their preferred official state gun via a non-binding advisory question on the November 2026 ballot, choosing from six historical firearms including the Winchester Model 1873, Colt Peacemaker, Colt M1911, Winchester Model 1894, M1 Garand, and Remington Model 700. The measure, enacted through House Bill 932 earlier this year, aims to inform legislative action on a state symbol amid Idaho’s strong gun ownership traditions. Trader pricing shows the Winchester Model 1873 leading at 42.5 percent implied probability, followed by the Colt Peacemaker at 27 percent, reflecting assessments of which option best aligns with Western heritage and voter appeal. With no major recent developments or public polling available, the contest remains fluid, and factors such as voter pamphlet descriptions, any late additions by the Legislative Council, or campaign visibility could shift sentiment ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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