Morena holds the leading position in trader assessments for the Tlaxcala state congress election, reflecting its sustained dominance in local polling and institutional control. Recent national council decisions have reinforced its coalition strategy with PT and PVEM as the core alliance for 2027 contests, while opening limited outreach to smaller parties like PRD. Federal election outcomes and state-level surveys continue to show the party well ahead of PRI, PAN, and MC, whose support remains in single digits. The formal launch of the 2026-2027 electoral process in December, combined with Morena’s majority in the current LXV Legislature, has consolidated expectations of another strong performance in the legislative vote. Minor internal alliance negotiations and administrative sanctions have not altered the broader trajectory.