Hikaru Nakamura and Magnus Carlsen head the market at 21% and 19% respectively because of their unmatched recent blitz form and historical Titled Tuesday success, yet the bunched probabilities reflect a deep field where multiple grandmasters remain viable. Nakamura enters with strong momentum from consistent arena dominance and a near-miss in the September 8 event, where he led late before finishing second on tiebreaks to Lê Quang Liêm. Carlsen brings elite pedigree from prior wins and ongoing high-level play, though his participation varies. Recent editions have featured tight finishes among players like Aleksei Sarana, Arjun Erigaisi, Alireza Firouzja, and rising contenders such as Sina Movahed, underscoring the format's volatility in an 11-round Swiss with 5+0 time control and a large titled field. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as a narrow edge for the top two amid broad parity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHikaru Nakamura 21%
Magnus Carlsen 19%
Alireza Firouzja 11%
Alexander Grischuk 11%
Hikaru Nakamura
21%
Magnus Carlsen
19%
Alireza Firouzja
11%
Alexander Grischuk
11%
Arjun Erigaisi
11%
Aravindh Chithambaram
9%
Andrey Esipenko
9%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
9%
Dau Khuong Duy
9%
Dincer Tasdogen
9%
Faustino Oro
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Sergey Sklokin
9%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
9%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
9%
Vladislav Artemiev
9%
Volen Dyulgerov
9%
Vincent Keymer
9%
Wesley So
9%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
9%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
9%
Gukesh Dommaraju
9%
Ding Liren
9%
Wei Yi
9%
Denis Lazavik
9%
Aleksandar Indjic
9%
Aleksandr Shimanov
9%
Benjamin Bok
9%
Bardiya Daneshvar
9%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
9%
Dmitry Andreikin
9%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Frederik Svane
9%
Haik Martirosyan
9%
Hans Niemann
9%
Haowen Xue
9%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
9%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
9%
Jose Martinez
9%
Jules Moussard
9%
Javokhir Sindarov
9%
Jeffery Xiong
9%
Levon Aronian
9%
Le Tuan Minh
9%
Matthias Bluebaum
9%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
9%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
9%
Nihal Sarin
9%
Nikolas Theodorou
9%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
9%
Pranesh Munirethinam
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Pranav Venkatesh
9%
Renato Terry Lujan
9%
Rudik Makarian
9%
Rasmus Svane
9%
Sam Sevian
9%
Vladimir Fedoseev
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Christopher Yoo
9%
Awonder Liang
9%
David Anton
9%
Andrew Tang
9%
Aleksei Sarana
6%
Sina Movahed
5%
Parham Maghsoodloo
5%
Hikaru Nakamura 21%
Magnus Carlsen 19%
Alireza Firouzja 11%
Alexander Grischuk 11%
Hikaru Nakamura
21%
Magnus Carlsen
19%
Alireza Firouzja
11%
Alexander Grischuk
11%
Arjun Erigaisi
11%
Aravindh Chithambaram
9%
Andrey Esipenko
9%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
9%
Dau Khuong Duy
9%
Dincer Tasdogen
9%
Faustino Oro
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Sergey Sklokin
9%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
9%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
9%
Vladislav Artemiev
9%
Volen Dyulgerov
9%
Vincent Keymer
9%
Wesley So
9%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
9%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
9%
Gukesh Dommaraju
9%
Ding Liren
9%
Wei Yi
9%
Denis Lazavik
9%
Aleksandar Indjic
9%
Aleksandr Shimanov
9%
Benjamin Bok
9%
Bardiya Daneshvar
9%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
9%
Dmitry Andreikin
9%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Frederik Svane
9%
Haik Martirosyan
9%
Hans Niemann
9%
Haowen Xue
9%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
9%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
9%
Jose Martinez
9%
Jules Moussard
9%
Javokhir Sindarov
9%
Jeffery Xiong
9%
Levon Aronian
9%
Le Tuan Minh
9%
Matthias Bluebaum
9%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
9%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
9%
Nihal Sarin
9%
Nikolas Theodorou
9%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
9%
Pranesh Munirethinam
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Pranav Venkatesh
9%
Renato Terry Lujan
9%
Rudik Makarian
9%
Rasmus Svane
9%
Sam Sevian
9%
Vladimir Fedoseev
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Christopher Yoo
9%
Awonder Liang
9%
David Anton
9%
Andrew Tang
9%
Aleksei Sarana
6%
Sina Movahed
5%
Parham Maghsoodloo
5%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hikaru Nakamura and Magnus Carlsen head the market at 21% and 19% respectively because of their unmatched recent blitz form and historical Titled Tuesday success, yet the bunched probabilities reflect a deep field where multiple grandmasters remain viable. Nakamura enters with strong momentum from consistent arena dominance and a near-miss in the September 8 event, where he led late before finishing second on tiebreaks to Lê Quang Liêm. Carlsen brings elite pedigree from prior wins and ongoing high-level play, though his participation varies. Recent editions have featured tight finishes among players like Aleksei Sarana, Arjun Erigaisi, Alireza Firouzja, and rising contenders such as Sina Movahed, underscoring the format's volatility in an 11-round Swiss with 5+0 time control and a large titled field. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as a narrow edge for the top two amid broad parity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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