The S&P 500 closed at 7,636 on September 9, 2026, off roughly 2% from its August high near 7,799 but up about 11.5% year-to-date. Robust second-quarter earnings, with 86% of reporting S&P 500 companies beating estimates, and accelerating AI-driven capital expenditures underpin analyst upgrades, including HSBC’s revised year-end target of 8,100. Corporate EPS growth is projected above 25% for the second half. Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% goal, energy price pressures from Middle East tensions, and a federal funds rate held at 3.5–3.75% have kept monetary policy on hold, with some FOMC participants favoring hikes. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, third-quarter earnings releases, and upcoming CPI and employment data that could shift rate expectations and equity valuations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$344,477 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
4%
↑ $9,000
5%
↑ $8,600
9%
↑ $8,200
27%
↑ $8,000
47%
↓ $7,400
73%
↓ $7,200
52%
↓ $7,000
34%
↓ $6,200
12%
↓ $6,000
11%
↓ $5,800
9%
↓ $5,200
7%
↓ $4,500
3%
$344,477 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$203 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,300
$9,564 Vol.
4%
↑ $9,000
$78 Vol.
5%
↑ $8,600
$30,614 Vol.
9%
↑ $8,200
$23,827 Vol.
27%
↑ $8,000
$559 Vol.
47%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
73%
↓ $7,200
$135 Vol.
52%
↓ $7,000
$748 Vol.
34%
↓ $6,200
$54,079 Vol.
12%
↓ $6,000
$2,970 Vol.
11%
↓ $5,800
$41,870 Vol.
9%
↓ $5,200
$59,409 Vol.
7%
↓ $4,500
$60,371 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 7,636 on September 9, 2026, off roughly 2% from its August high near 7,799 but up about 11.5% year-to-date. Robust second-quarter earnings, with 86% of reporting S&P 500 companies beating estimates, and accelerating AI-driven capital expenditures underpin analyst upgrades, including HSBC’s revised year-end target of 8,100. Corporate EPS growth is projected above 25% for the second half. Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% goal, energy price pressures from Middle East tensions, and a federal funds rate held at 3.5–3.75% have kept monetary policy on hold, with some FOMC participants favoring hikes. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, third-quarter earnings releases, and upcoming CPI and employment data that could shift rate expectations and equity valuations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$344,477End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 7,636 on September 9, 2026, off roughly 2% from its August high near 7,799 but up about 11.5% year-to-date. Robust second-quarter earnings, with 86% of reporting S&P 500 companies beating estimates, and accelerating AI-driven capital expenditures underpin analyst upgrades, including HSBC’s revised year-end target of 8,100. Corporate EPS growth is projected above 25% for the second half. Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% goal, energy price pressures from Middle East tensions, and a federal funds rate held at 3.5–3.75% have kept monetary policy on hold, with some FOMC participants favoring hikes. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, third-quarter earnings releases, and upcoming CPI and employment data that could shift rate expectations and equity valuations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$344,477End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 closed at 7,636 on September 9, 2026, off roughly 2% from its August high near 7,799 but up about 11.5% year-to-date. Robust second-quarter earnings, with 86% of reporting S&P 500 companies beating estimates, and accelerating AI-driven capital expenditures underpin analyst upgrades, including HSBC’s revised year-end target of 8,100. Corporate EPS growth is projected above 25% for the second half. Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% goal, energy price pressures from Middle East tensions, and a federal funds rate held at 3.5–3.75% have kept monetary policy on hold, with some FOMC participants favoring hikes. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, third-quarter earnings releases, and upcoming CPI and employment data that could shift rate expectations and equity valuations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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